June Market Snapshot

Stay ahead of the curve by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market. The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and the effect on the price of Calgary Real Estate. A simple way to keep up to date and ahead of most!

Below are the details along with a few comments, all numbers were taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors.

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Calgary housing market is changing again.  May saw a decrease in inventory and an increase in Sales tightening up the supply and moving us into a sellers’ market.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory:   It is interesting to see that the inventory went down in all categories this month.  This is partially due to not as many new listings hit the market and that sales increased.   This is opposite of what I would normally expect for May as typically people list in May as the summer is approaching.

 

Inventory  April  2015 May  2015 Change
Detached 3024 2913 -111
Attached 1207 1136 -71
Apartment 1348 1293 -55
Total City of Calgary 5579 5342 -237

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in all categories increased this month.  This is a normal trend where getting near the summer the sales increase.

Sales April  2015 May  2015 Change % Change
Detached 1149 1366 +216 +18.8
Attached 458 465 +7 +.15
Apartment 350 359 +9 +2.5
Total City of Calgary 1957 2190 +233 +11.9

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  

Prices in all categories increased marginally this month.  Apartment condos showed the largest increase.

Based on the absorption rate below my prediction is that detached and attached homes will stay fairly stable or see small price increases while apartment condos should see slight decreases or stay flat.

  Sales Prices April  2015

 Benchmark Price 

May  2015

Benchmark Price

Change
Detached 510,200 512,800 +2,600
Attached 353,300 354,000 +700
Apartment 291,300 294,800 +3,500
Total City of Calgary 451,600 454,100 +2,500

 

Sales Prices “Year to Date”   

Year to date prices – All categories have decreased.

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2014   Benchmark Price  May  2015 Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 518,600 512,800 -5,700 -1.1
Attached 356,200 354,000 -2,200 -.6
Apartment 300,400 294,800 -5,600 -1.8
Total City of Calgary 459,500 454,100 -5,400 -1.2

 

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)   (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.8 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.8 Drives prices up

 

*** Absorption Rate:   

The absorption rate decreased again for all categories.  What this means is that the relation to sales over inventory decreased.  This puts detached homes and attached homes into a seller’s market, while apartment condos have stayed in a balanced market.

If this trend continues we are going to start seeing a lack of homes for buyers causing multiple offers and larger price increases.

Absorption Rate   April  2015 May  2015 Change
Detached 2.63 2.13 -.5
Attached 2.64 2.44 -.2
Apartment 3.85 3.6 -.25
Total City of Calgary 2.85 2.44 -.41

 

**Please note that these numbers do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary, the attached stats package or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.

 

If you know anyone else who might enjoy seeing our monthly summary please feel free to pass this on. Gord, Eric, Brent

TSW Real Estate Group