Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot – Oct 1, 2017

Calgary Absorption Rate

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date with how the market is trending and to stay ahead of most! All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors. I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion.

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)   (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

 

Absorption Rate

The Absorption rate for September increased in all categories except attached-row homes where it dropped marginally.   The one to note is apartment condos which increased by 1.29 putting us at 8.42 months of inventory.  

  Aug  2017  Sept  2017  Change
Detached 3.32 3.79 0.46
Semi Detached 3.27 4.31 1.04
Attached – Row 5.27 5.25 -0.02
Apartment 7.13 8.42 1.29
Total City 4.13 4.69 0.56

 Calgary Listing Inventory

In September all categories stayed flat except for detached homes which saw an increase of 199 listings.

Inventory Aug  2017  Sept  2017  Change
Detached 3280 3479 199
Semi Detached 585 621 36
Attached – Row 991 993 2
Apartment 1769 1768 -1
Total City 6624 6861 237

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales for September saw a decrease in all categories except attached-row homes which increased by 1.  A decrease at this time of year is fairly normal and I would classify this as simply seasonal.

Of interest Calgary year to date sales are 7% above last year’s sales.

Calgary Sales  Aug  2017  Sept  2017  Change % Change
Detached 987 919 -68 -6.89%
Semi Detached 179 144 -35 -19.55%
Attached – Row 188 189 1 0.53%
Apartment 248 210 -38 -15.32%
Total City 1602 1462 -140 -8.74%

  

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Okay, I will eat my words here.  Last month I predicted that prices would remain fairly even except for attached – row houses and apartment condos which I said should drop.  As you can see below I was wrong however with the absorption rates I again will predict all categories will remain fairly flat with the exception of apartment condos where a decrease is likely.

  Sales Prices Aug   2017Benchmark Price   Sept  2017  Benchmark Price Change
Detached 510,900 508,900 -2,000
Semi Detached 419,600 419,400 -200
Attached – Row 307,000 306,900 -100
Apartment 263,300 263,700 400
Total City 442,300 441,500 -800

  

Sales Prices “Year to Date”  

Sales Prices Jan 1, 2017    Benchmark Price  Sept  2017  Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 498,700 508,900 10,200 2.05%
Semi Detached 406,800 419,400 12,600 3.10%
Attached – Row 302,600 306,900 4,300 1.42%
Apartment 265,000 263,700 -1,300 -0.49%
Total City 433,400 441,500 8,100 1.87%

 **Please note that these numbers include only Calgary homes and do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  This report does not include rural properties.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.

 

TSW Real Estate Group

 

 

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