Nov 1, 2016 Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Welcome to our Nov 2016 Calgary Real Estate Market snapshot.
The big news for October is that the government changed the rules for mortgage qualification.  This month the stats show increased sales and declining inventory and I believe it is 100% due to people scrambling to get their home before the rules changed.  Next month we may see a totally different picture but only time will tell for sure.
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Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date with how the market is trending and to stay ahead of most! All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors. I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion.

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)   (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

*** Absorption Rate***  

The absorption rate for all categories decreased this month.  I believe this is because we saw a spike in sales due to people entering the market before the mortgage rules changed.  It should be interesting to see our stats for next month once the new rules have been in place for a while.

Absorption Rate Cont. 

  July 2016 August  2016 Change
Detached 2.99 2.49 -0.50
Semi Detached 3.30 2.96 -0.34
Attached – Row 4.88 4.21 -0.67
Apartment 8.26 6.14 -2.11
Total City 3.95 3.30 -0.65

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

October Inventory levels decreased in all categories.   I believe that the change is due to increased sales and a normal amount of new listings.  The bottom line is there are less Calgary Homes and Condos for sale than last month.

Inventory July 2016 August  2016 Change
Detached 2823 2565 -258
Semi Detached 515 486 -29
Attached – Row 888 834 -54
Apartment 1651 1542 -109
Total City 5877 5427 -450

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in all categories increased this month.  Again I believe that the new mortgage rules are 100% responsible for this increase.  For many people if they did not buy before the changes they would simply not be able to qualify so this created a sense of urgency for buyers.  Note that apartment condos saw the largest increase (25.5%) which was needed in this sector.

Calgary Sales   July 2016 August  2016 Change % Change
Detached 945 1031 86 9.10%
Semi Detached 156 164 8 5.13%
Attached – Row 182 198 16 8.79%
Apartment 200 251 51 25.50%
Total City 1488 1644 156 10.48%

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices: 

All categories showed a slight decrease in prices this month.  Typically you will see a direct correlation between the absorption rate and prices – this month that is not the case and I believe it is again caused by the government rule changes and everyone trying to figure out what the market might look like next month.  Attached – row houses (townhouses) saw the largest decrease even though apartment condos have the highest absorption rate.

 

  Sales Prices July 2016 Benchmark Price    August  2016

Benchmark Price

Change
Detached 503,400 502,200 -1,200
Semi Detached 386,500 386,500 0
Attached – Row 311,100 308,100 -3,000
Apartment 274,700 273,800 -900
Total City 440,400 438,900 -1,500

 

 

Sales Prices “Year to Date”   

Year to date prices

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2015   Benchmark Price  August 2016 Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 514100 502,200 -11,900 -2.31%
Semi Detached 393100 386,500 -6,600 -1.68%
Attached – Row 318500 308,100 -10,400 -3.27%
Apartment 288,000 273,800 -14,200 -4.93%
Total City 452800 438,900 -13,900 -3.07%

 

 

Community Variations 

**Please note that these numbers do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  This report does not include rural properties.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.

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