October Market Snapshot

Despite all the doom and gloom in the media the Calgary Real Estate Market has not crashed and in certain sectors is actually fairing quite well considering the circumstances.

Stay ahead of the curve by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and the effect on the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date and ahead of most!

Below are the details along with a few comments, all numbers were taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors.

Calgary Listing Inventory

In October our inventory declined for detached homes and increased in the attached homes and apartments sectors.

 Inventory  Sept  2015 Oct  2015 Change
Detached 3012 2922 -90
Attached 1232 1290 +58
Apartment 1282 1366 +84
Total City of Calgary 5526 5578 +52

Calgary Sales:

Sales for attached homes increased slightly this month while detached homes and apartment sales decreased.   The largest decrease is in the apartment sector.  Looking at the total sales we are down by only 27 sales from last month.  We are down substantially from 2014  (2014 was a huge year) and are down from the long term average.

In my opinion seasonal adjustments are a small part of this and it is a bigger reflection of a weakened economy and uncertainty.

Sales Sept  2015 Oct  2015 Change % Change
Detached 906 872 -34 -3.75%
Attached 283 312 +29 +3.2%
Apartment 259 237 -22 -8.5%
Total City of Calgary 1448 1421 -27 -1.9

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  

Prices for all categories decreased this month.  The overall price decrease from September was  .66%. Looking at today’s absorption rate I predict that detached and attached homes will continue with small decreases while the apartment sector will show higher decreases.  Why you might ask am I predicting a decrease for detached homes while we are still in a balanced market – my answer is simply the consumer confidence level out there.

  Sales Prices Sept  2015

Benchmark Price 

Oct  2015

Benchmark Price

Change
Detached 517,200 513,800 -3,400
Attached 357,000 354,100 -2,900
Apartment 290,600 288,300 -2,300
Total City of Calgary 456,100 453,100 -3,000

Sales Prices “Year to Date”   

Year to date prices –  The numbers here speak for themselves. As you can see the largest decrease is in the apartment sector. Overall I am surprised at how well Real Estate has held up so far with all the uncertainty.

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2014   Benchmark Price  Oct  2015

Benchmark Price

Change

$

% Change
Detached 510,900 513,800 +2,900 +.57%
Attached 357,000 354,100 -3,000 -.84%
Apartment 300,300 288,300 -12,000 -4.0%
Total City of Calgary 459,000 453,100 -5,900 -1.28%

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)   (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.8 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.8 Drives prices up

*** Absorption Rate:   

In October all categories increased with apartment condos taking the biggest jump. This will have an impact on prices in the coming months.

Absorption Rate   Sept  2015 Oct  2015 Change
Detached 3.32 3.35 +.03
Attached 4.35 4.13 -.22
Apartment 4.95 5.76 +.81
Total City of Calgary 3.82 3.93 +.11