Posts Tagged ‘Home prices calgary’

What’s really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Tuesday, February 4th, 2020

The market is simply a result of Supply and Demand therefore we look at both Supply (inventory) and Demand (Sales) and the relationship between the two.  We also update you on the current benchmark price for all housing sectors.

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each Sector.  Looking at a 2 year trendline gives you and indication of where things are really heading.

Calgary Real Estate Board  Summary of Key Stats

 

Following is a summary of what I deem to be the most important numbers.  Again, we look at Total Inventory, Sales for the past 30 days, Months of Inventory and of course the benchmark price.  All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate boards monthly stats package.

Key Stats for the Calgary Real Estate Market

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Through January our Absorption rate increased for all housing sectors. The smallest increase was in the detached sector at +.25 and the largest was in the Attached Row Sector at +1.34

This means the listing increase is outpacing the sales increase  and it is putting us in a stronger buyers market for all sectors.

Calgary Listing Inventory

Inventory increased in every sector in January.  Most sectors increased somewhat equally except the Apartment condo sector that increased by 16.1% compared to the total increase of 11.6%

Increasing inventory is normal as many people wait till the holidays are over to list.  This is a trend that we expect to see for the next several months.

 Calgary Sales:

Sales in Detached homes and Apartment Condos increased marginally over December which is a normal trend.  Sales in the Semi-Detached and Attached Row homes declined ever so slightly. We also had about 10 Days of bitter weather which keeps buyers indoors.

Sales Compared to 2018:

Sales in all sectors increased over 2018 for a total increase of 8% over 2019.

 Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Prices in all sectors declined a little this month.  The lowest decrease was in the Detached home sector and the largest decline was in the Apartment Condo Sector

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Prices Year to Date – Same as for the month.

It’s  also important to note that these numbers vary by community, and also by price range.  If you would like numbers for your community contact us.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot Feb 1, 2018

Friday, February 2nd, 2018

Absorption Rate – Calgary Real Estate

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date with how the market is trending and to stay ahead of most! All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors. I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion.

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory – the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

 

Current Absorption Rate

The absorption rate for December increased for Detached and Apartment sectors with a tiny increase in Attached Row homes.  The only decrease is in the Semi-Detached.

At this point I am speculating however I believe that with the mortgage rule changes that went into affect Jan 1st we are going to see some buyers shifting from detached homes to Semi-Detached and from Semi-Detached to Row and from row to apartment condos.

 

End of Dec 2017  Jan 2018    Change
Detached 3.30 3.75 0.45
Semi Detached 4.64 4.56 -0.09
Attached – Row 5.22 5.33 0.11
Apartment 6.99 8.89 1.90
Total City 4.28 4.83 0.55

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

In January our inventory increased in all Sectors. This is totally expected as some sellers take their home off the market for December and relist in January.

Inventory Dec 2017  Jan 2018    Change
Detached 2033 2185 152
Semi Detached 441 451 10
Attached – Row 658 698 40
Apartment 1182 1289 107
Total City 4314 4623 309

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales numbers are down a little from December and again this is a normal seasonal trend.  What is important to note here is that when we compare with last year, January sales were 2% higher than in January 2017.

 

Calgary Sales  Dec 2017  Jan 2018    Change % Change
Detached 616 583 -33 -5.36%
Semi Detached 95 99 4 4.21%
Attached – Row 126 131 5 3.97%
Apartment 169 145 -24 -14.20%
Total City 1008 958 -50 -4.96%

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Prices in January decreased in every sector with larger decreases in the Attached Row and apartment condo sectors.  This is consistent with higher absorption rates in those sectors.

 

  Sales Prices Dec 2017 Benchmark Price   Jan 2018   Benchmark Price Change
Detached 499,600 499,400 -200
Semi Detached 416,600 415,800 -800
Attached – Row 299,500 296,700 -2,800
Apartment 257,700 256,200 -1,500
Total City 433,200 432,300 -900

 

 Sales Prices “Year to Date”  

Same as monthly number

Sales Prices Jan 1, 2018    Benchmark Price  Jan 2018   Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 499,600 499,400 -200 -0.04%
Semi Detached 416,600 415,800 -800 -0.19%
Attached – Row 299,500 296,700 -2,800 -0.93%
Apartment 257,700 256,200 -1,500 -0.58%
Total City 433,200 432,300 -900 -0.21%

  

**Please note that these numbers include only Calgary homes and do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  This report does not include rural properties.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or about Real Estate in general, please feel free to contact us.

 

Annual Forecast from the Real Estate Board Economist.

In a nutshell her forecast for 2018 is that the market will stay essentially the same as it was in 2017, with similar inventory levels and sales levels.  The Calgary Real Estate Board produced a full report showing not only what they predict but the reasons why.  I found it a very interesting read.  If you would like a full copy of the report just let us know and I can email to you.