Archive for November, 2018

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot for Nov 1, 2018

Thursday, November 1st, 2018

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Months of Inventory for last 2 years.

Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date with how the market is trending and to stay ahead of most! All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors. I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion.

Months of Inventory/Absorption Rate – the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

_______________________________________________________________________

Current Months of Inventory:  If we did not list any more homes this is how many months it would take to deplete inventory.  In October we saw every category decrease in the number of months of inventory, however all categories are still in a Buyers Market position.

End of Sept 2018    Oct 2018    Change
Detached 5.49 4.80 -0.69
Semi Detached 7.09 6.53 -0.56
Attached – Row 7.58 6.59 -0.99
Apartment 7.68 7.12 -0.56
Total City 6.25 5.56 -0.69

  

Calgary Listing Inventory

In October, our inventory decreased in all sectors and overall, the highest decrease was in the Detached home sector followed by the Apartment Condo sector and then Attached-Row.  This is normal at this time of year and we should expect this trend to continue for the rest of the year.

 

Inventory Sept 2018    Oct 2018    Change
 Detached 4348 3976 -372
Semi Detached 872 823 -49
Attached – Row 1107 1009 -98
Apartment 1620 1509 -111
Total Calgary 7947 7345 -602

 

Calgary Sales:

An interesting twist, normally we see sales drop in October over Sept,  yet this year we saw an increase.  Not a large increase but an increase.

Calgary Sales  Sept 2018    Oct 2018    Change % Change
Detached 792 829 37 4.67%
Semi Detached 123 126 3 2.44%
Attached – Row 146 153 7 4.79%
Apartment 211 212 1 0.47%
Total City 1272 1322 50 3.93%

 

Sales Compared to last year:  Thought this is a number that deserves a look as the trend is changing. Chart shows this year’s sales as a percentage of last years so yes,  sales are down but they are down less than at the beginning of the year.

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov  Dec
102% 82% 72% 80% 82% 89% 95% 93% 85.9% 90.1%    

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

October saw prices decrease in all sectors except Apartment Condos which did not change. This is expected with the high number of months of inventory on the market.  Unless something changes we can expect to see this trend for a few more months.

  Sales Prices Sept 2018     Benchmark Price   Oct 2018   Benchmark Price Change
Detached 493,100 490,200 -2,900
Semi Detached 407,400 403,400 -4,000
Attached – Row 294,200 293,400 -800
Apartment 257,200 257,200 0
Total City 428,700 426,300 -2,400

  

Sales Prices “Year to Date”  

Same as monthly number

Sales Prices Jan 1, 2018    Benchmark Price  Oct 2018   Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 499,600 490,200 -9,400 -1.88%
Semi Detached 416,600 403,400 -13,200 -3.17%
Attached – Row 299,500 293,400 -6,100 -2.04%
Apartment 257,700 257,200 -500 -0.19%
Total City 433,200 426,300 -6,900 -1.59%

 

**Please note that these numbers include only Calgary homes and do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  This report does not include rural properties.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or about Real Estate in general, please feel free to contact us.