Archive for October, 2016

Be a smart Real Estate Investor – Do the math

Monday, October 31st, 2016

Should I use cash or credit? A variable rate loan or fixed rate? Ten percent down or twenty percent? Should I pay down debt or keep a cash reserve? These are all good questions, and here are some of the answers.

Cash vs. Credit: The Concept of Leverage

In order to understand real estate financing, it is important that you understand the time value of money. Because of inflation, a dollar today is generally worth less in the future. Thus, while real estate values may increase, an all-cash purchase may not be economically feasible or wise, since the investor’s cash may be utilized in more effective ways. Leverage is the concept of using borrowed money to make a return on an investment. Let’s say you bought a house using all of your cash for $100,000. If the property were to increase in value 10% over 12 months, it would now be worth $110,000. Your return on investment would 10% annually (of course, you would actually net less, since you would incur costs in selling the property).

If you purchased a property using $10,000 of your own cash and $90,000 in borrowed money, a 10% increase in value would still result in $10,000 of increased equity, but your return on your invested cash is 100% ($10,000 investment yielding $20,000 in equity). Of course, the borrowed money isn’t free; you would have to incur loan costs and interest payments in borrowing the money. However, you could also rent the property in the meantime, which should offset the interest expense of the loan.

Taking leverage a step further, you could purchase ten properties with 10% down and 90% financing. If you could rent these properties for breakeven cash flow, you would have a very large nest egg in 20 years, when the properties are paid off. Balance that with what you could make by investing the cash flow from one free and clear property for 20 years. And, of course, look at the potential risk of negative cash flow from repairs and vacancies on ten properties. Finally, consider the tax implications – if you have cash flow, you have taxable income; if you have an increase in equity, there’s no tax (capital gains) until you sell.

Cash Flow vs. Cash Reserves

On a similar note, the size of your down payment will affect your cash flow on rental properties. Let’s consider two examples.

Example 1: $100,000 property with $20,000 down. $80,000 loan @ 6% interest, including taxes and insurance is about $600/month. Assuming you could rent the property for $800/month, you have $200/month cash flow or $2,400/year. Not bad.

Example 2: $100,000 with no money down. $100,000 loan @ 8% (higher rate is generally common for zero-down/cash-back loans) would make your payments closer to $900/month. With zero down, you have $100/month negative cash flow.

Which is better? Well, it depends on what your goals are and what the rest of your financial picture looks like. Let’s say your goal was to hold the property for 10 years. In the first example, you have $200/month cash flow, but no cash reserve. In the second example, you would have $100/month negative cash flow, but you have $20,000 in reserve. The knee-jerk reaction of some people is that example #1 is safer. But is it really?

Think about it… in the first example, if your property becomes vacant for one month, you’d be out of pocket $600. It would take three months to make that up. In the second example, you have $20,000 in cash cushion to make up the deficit. With $20,000 in the bank, you could handle $1200/year negative cash flow for 16 years. If the property were in an appreciating market, you’d come out fine, even with negative cash flow. Another factor is the choice of mortgage. You could buy a property with nothing down and an interest-only loan fixed at 5% for three years. If your exit strategy is a lease/option that should cash you out within 36 months, why do a fixed-rate traditional loan?

The point here, is that you should not automatically go with traditional fixed-rate financing. Nor should you seek positive cash flow as the only goal. Likewise, you should not buy properties with nothing down and negative cash flow and assume that short-term market appreciation will be the only source of your profit.

Paying Down Debt

For years, our parents’ generation discouraged debt as a “very bad” thing. For some investors, the goal is to own properties “free and clear,” that is, with no mortgage debt. While this is a worthy goal, it does not always make financial sense. If you have free and clear properties, you will make a certain amount of cash flow and pay a certain amount of income tax. If you need more cash, you are forced to sell the asset, creating a taxable gain.

If you refinance a property, there’s no taxable event. And, since mortgage interest is a deductible expense against income from the property, the investor does better tax-wise by saving his cash. Think about it… the higher the monthly mortgage payment, the less cash flow, the less taxable income each year. While positive cash flow is desirable, it does not necessarily mean that a property is more profitable because it has more cash flow. More equity will obviously increase monthly cash flow, but it is not always the best use of your money. On the other hand, paying down debt may make sense if you can’t get a higher return elsewhere in the market. Also, if paying down debt can have other rewards, such as bringing a loan below 80% LTV, you may be able to avoid paying mortgage insurance and save additional money.

In Short, Don’t Rely on Assumptions… Do the Math!

Fall 2016 edition of CMHC’s Housing Market Outlook – Calgary

Friday, October 28th, 2016

Every quarter CMHC  produces their Housing Market Outlook for all of Canada and for Major cities like Calgary.  It is interesting as it shows not only the state of the market but it contains predictions for the future and an explanation of Why?

Here is a link to the full report for Calgary

The Fall 2016 edition of CMHC’s Housing Market Outlook – Calgary is now available and can be accessed by clicking on the link below.
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64339/64339_2016_B02.pdf

Highlight of the report include

  • Total housing starts forecast to remain relatively low in 2016 and 2017, before improving in 2018. „
  • Significant changes in MLS® sales are not expected over the forecast period. „
  • The purpose-built apartment vacancy rate is expected to stay above historical averages.

Thanks to CMHC for giving u this valuable information.

 

Are you CLEAR on what is a good Real Estate deal?

Monday, October 24th, 2016

So often, in the beginning, investors focus on real estate investing techniques, and lose sight of the important issue – is this a good deal? Learning to recognize a good deal takes research, education and, above all, experience. Here’s a good formula to determine whether a potential real estate purchase is a deal. It’s a simple acronym called “C.L.E.A.R.”

Cash Flow

Ask yourself, will this property cash flow? Well, that depends on a lot of factors, such as the strength of the local rental market, the interest rate on the financing and how much of a down payment you contribute. Also, it depends on whether it is a single family or multi-family dwelling. Considering all of these factors, ask yourself, “Will this provide income for me?” Also, ask yourself the question, “How will this property cash flow compare to other potential properties?” For example, a $150,000 house that rents for $1,000/month has better income potential than a $300,000 house that rents for $1,600/month. A four-unit building that costs $400,000 may bring in $3,000/month in the same neighborhood.

Now, of course, whether the property will provide income to you begs the question of whether income is important to you. Is it? Do you earn other income? Do you need more income now, or is future equity growth more important? There’s no right answer to these questions, but all are factors to consider when looking at a potential purchase.

Leverage

Leverage is important in investing, because the less cash you put down on each property, the more properties you can buy. If the properties go up in value, your rate of return goes up exponentially. However, if the properties go down in value and you have a lot of debt on the property, this can result in negative cash flow (see above). Since real estate is generally cyclical, negative cash flow is only a short term problem and can be handled, if you have other income or a cash reserve to pay the shortfall. “Nothing down” investing is very attractive for the high-leverage investor, but should be approached with caution. If you are a long-term player, leverage will generally work in your favor, if the markets in which you invest appreciate over the long run, and your income from the properties can pay for most of the monthly debt service.

Equity

Does the property you are purchasing have equity? Equity can take a number of forms, such as:

  •         A discounted price
  •         A potential fixer upper
  •         A re-zoning opportunity
  •         A poorly managed property
  •         A foreclosure

There are many ways to create equity, but buying into equity is your best bet. Find a motivated seller that wants out of his property, and is willing to give up his property for less than full value. Or, buy a property that needs work and can be done for 50 cents on the dollar or less. In other words, if the property needs $10,000 in work, make sure you get a $20,000 discount on the price, or better.

Appreciation

Buying in the right neighborhoods, and in the right stage of a real estate cycle, which will result in appreciation and profit. However, timing a real estate cycle is difficult and can be very speculative. If you buy properties without equity or cash flow, solely for short-term appreciation, you are engaging in a very risky investment. Buying for moderate to long-term (10 to 20 years) appreciation is safer and easier. Look at long-term neighborhood, and city-wide trends, to pick areas that will hold their values and grow at an average of 5 to 7% per year. Combine this tactic with reasonable cash flow, and buying into equity, and you will be a smart investor.

Risk

Risk is a consideration that too few investors consider. Ask yourself, “What if my assumptions are wrong?” In other words, do you have a “plan B”? If you bought for short term appreciation, and the property did not appreciate in value, can you rent it out for positive cash flow? If you bought with a variable rate loan and the rates go up, will this put you out of business? If you have a few vacancies, can you handle the negative cash flow, or will it break the bank for you? Expect the best, but prepare for the worst.

Remember, whenever you look at a property to purchase, think “CLEAR”ly.

Top 10 Things Most Experienced REALTORS® Can Help You With

Monday, October 17th, 2016
  1. Negotiating.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Although negotiation is something that can be taught, there is only one real path to mastering the skill of negotiation and that is through experience. As an experienced REALTOR®, I have been in many negotiating situations and circumstances and this will benefit you in pursuing your real estate goals.
  2.  Understanding and knowing the consumer.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           For someone new to the real estate business, and especially sales, not having the ability to read or understand what the consumer may be objecting to might stop the closing of a sale. The real estate professional, who has experience, understanding, and the ability to read human behavior and personality styles, is an asset you want on your team.
  3. Repeat business.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Unfortunately, new real estate associates do not have their client database built up. The experienced real estate associate generally has many contacts and resources that they can rely on to successfully bring your deal to a close.
  4. Knowing the market.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Experienced REALTOR®s tend to have a better feel for knowing the market, where prices should be on properties in different areas/segments, and can advise with an educated eye.
  5. Helping to avoid legal pitfalls.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Unfortunately, many new associates have not had the experience of negotiating a lot of real estate deals. Some REALTOR®s may not even understand that when two offers come in at the same time, it can be a dangerous and tricky situation where the associate has to protect the seller from accepting both contracts. An experienced REALTOR® will know how to structure a single counter offer/acceptance, or how to accept one and accept the other as a backup, when multiple offers are received.
  6. Experienced associates have more strategic alliances with others, who will be working on your behalf during the closing process.                                                                    A good, experienced REALTOR®, who has been around for several years, has probably built up a good rapport with many different service providers, from home inspectors to lawyers.
  7. Experienced REALTOR®s usually encounter certain situations and are familiar with how to be resourceful and “solve” such problems when they arise.                           You can always draw from the experienced associate’s years of service to help you with your real estate transaction, and the difficulties that can arise that would delay closing.
  8.  Stability!                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Most experienced REALTOR®s have a stability that you can count on while your property is listed, and while a deal is being negotiated.
  9.  Marketing power.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     An experienced real estate associate will normally have the marketing power and resources to effectively promote your property.  Relying on someone who knows where, and how, to market your real estate property is essential for positive results.
  10.  Proven track record!                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Most experienced REALTOR®s have a proven track record that shows when it comes to selling real estate; they can get the job done!

 

 

Basics of Buying a Condo

Friday, October 14th, 2016

Should I buy a condo or should I buy a house?

We believe that the decision to buy or not to buy a condominium boils down to a lifestyle decision. Many times a someone else handles much of the repair and maintenance, such as shoveling snow and replacing the roof.  Many condominiums have enhanced security features over those found in a single family home and some offer a wide range of social, entertainment and recreational activities.  Following are some condo basics.

What is a Condominium ?

Condo Myth – A Condo is a style of Building 

A condominium refers to a form of legal ownership, as opposed to a style of construction

When buying a single family home you are buying the home and the land the home sits on.

***When buying a condominium you are typically buying what you see between the walls of the unit and you are buying a percentage of the condominium corporation that manages the building and the common property. 

Some Specific things to consider when looking at a Condo. 

  1. Condo Fees – I’ve heard many times that condo fees are just an extra expense that I do not want.   We believe its important to take a closer look as condo fees will cover things that you would have to pay for yourself if you bought a single detached home.  IE: Things like a roof or siding.
  2. Condo fees cannot be compared from building to building as you have to look specifically at what is covered in the fees as many times things like utilities will be covered in fees
  3. Reserve Fund:  A  portion of your monthly condo fees will likely go into a reserve fund. This fund ensures that the condominium has enough money to pay for major repair and replacement of common elements over the life of the building.
  4. Condominium Document Condition.  This should be a condition put on any offer to purchase.  It states that the seller is obligated to give you all the documents from the condo board including financials, meeting minutes, reserve fund studies and more.   There are now companies that provide a service to review your documents and report back to you how strong the corporation is.  In our opinion when buying a condominium this is an excellent investment.

“Certified Condominium Specialist” CCS  

If you are considering buying a condominium we highly recommend that when looking for a Realtor to represent you the CCS designation is a must have.  The Certified Condominium Specialist (CCS) designation means that that Realtor has taken additional education and will know all the ins and outs of buying a condo.  Buying a condo is substantially more complicated than buying a single family home and you should make sure your Realtor is qualified to best help you.

Oct 1, 2016 Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Tuesday, October 4th, 2016

Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors.  I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion. This is must have information for Calgary Home Buyers and Calgary Home Sellers.

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)   (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

 

*** Absorption Rate***  

In my opinion this is the most critical number to look at.   Attached homes deceased by .30 this month.  Detached homes & Row Homes showed a small increase while apartment condos increased the most substantially adding 2.37 months of inventory.

 

July 2016 August  2016 Change
Detached 2.78 2.99 0.21
Semi Detached 3.60 3.30 -0.30
Attached – Row 4.77 4.88 0.11
Apartment 5.88 8.26 +2.37
Total City 3.61 3.95 0.34

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

September Inventory levels increased in all categories this month.   **** The increase was mostly in detached homes and I believe the reason is because the Real Estate Board merged commercial into the residential system and so it was simply a data change and not that true market.

Inventory July 2016 August  2016 Change
Detached 2720 2823 103
Semi Detached 497 515 18
Attached – Row 868 888 20
Apartment 1571 1651 80
Total City 5656 5877 221

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in all categories except apartment condos stayed steady this month.  Apartment condos showed a 25% decrease from last month.   Of interest this is the first month where year over year sales showed an increase which is very positive news.

Calgary Sales   July 2016 August  2016 Change % Change
Detached 980 945 -35 -3.57%
Semi Detached 138 156 18 13.04%
Attached – Row 182 182 0 0.00%
Apartment 267 200 –67 -25.09%
Total City 1567 1488 -79 -5.04%

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices: 

As you can see below there was not much movement in prices this month.

 

  Sales Prices July 2016 Benchmark Price    August  2016

Benchmark Price

Change
Detached 503,200 503,400 +200
Semi Detached 387,100 386,500 -600
Attached – Row 310,000 311,100 +1,100
Apartment 274,900 274,700 -200
Total City 440,200 440,400 +200

 

Sales Prices “Year to Date”   

Year to date prices

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2015   Benchmark Price  August 2016 Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 514100 503,400 -10,700 -2.08%
Semi Detached 393100 386,500 -6,600 -1.68%
Attached – Row 318500 311,100 -7,400 -2.32%
Apartment 288,000 274,700 -13,300 -4.62%
Total City 452800 440,400 -12,400 -2.74%

 

 Price Sensitivity

**Please note that these numbers do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  This report does not include rural properties.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.

 

TSW Real Estate Group

 

 

 

 

The number 1 thing you need to know about Realtors

Monday, October 3rd, 2016

When a Realtor represents you in transaction, the law requires them to provide you with certain legal duties (fiduciary duties). As with any agent/client relationship in any industry, you are putting your trust in this professional’s skills and expertise to act in your best interest, but it is not always that clear. It is critical that you understand the concept of Agency, or you may find yourself completely mis-represented.

A standard Agency Relationship (sole or single) is when one Realtor represents you and another represents the other party. In this situation, you are owed the following duties from your agent:

Full Disclosure – The Realtor must disclose all the information they have that may affect your decisions

Loyalty – The Realtor must always act in your best interest

Confidentiality – Any information provided in confidence, will remain so, always

Reasonable Care & Skill – The Realtor will exercise their skills in a manner consistent with the industry standards

Obedience – The Realtor must comply with your lawful instructions

Full Accounting – The Realtor will track all money provided to them for the transaction

In a Dual Agency Relationship (one agent represents the seller and the buyer), everything changes. There immediately becomes a conflict of interest, because the seller and the buyer usually have conflicting goals (price is the main example). A Realtor cannot properly represent one party, without breaching their loyalty to the other. This relationship must be consented to by all parties, and the Realtor would then become an impartial liaison. All confidential information is supposed to remain confidential; however the Realtor will be required to disclose certain items such as hidden defects in the property (leaky basements, etc).

Here is the kicker…. Most people don’t know that an agency relationship can be created without signing anything. Imagine, meeting a Realtor at an open house or calling them off a sign or an ad. You engage in conversation about the property and the Realtor begins asking you questions about your personal situation. You tell them that you are being transferred next week and that you are in town for the weekend to find a home (or some other personal detail). You have now created an implied agency relationship and that Realtor must keep that information confidential, right? Unfortunately, only in theory.

The Realtor is working for the seller and not for you. While legally you have created an implied agency relationship, most people (and Realtors) are not aware of this. It is not malicious, just honest ignorance. For this reason, you should assume that everything you tell this agent will go directly to the seller (or buyer in a “for sale by owner” scenario) and govern yourself accordingly, unless you directly discuss agency relationship and confidentiality.

Education is getting better for the industry and Realtors are required to explain agency at the first available moment that a relationship (implied or not) may be created. Although this rarely happens in practice.

So here is the key …. know who is working for you and who is working for the other party. If a Realtor offers to help you out, ensure that you know your rights and the legal duties that are owed to you. If you ever feel like you have not been properly represented by an industry professional, be sure to talk to their regulatory body. This will ensure that all Realtors act in a matter consistent with, and above the industry standard.

10 Reasons Why Your Home Probably Didn’t Sell!

Saturday, October 1st, 2016

This “FREE” report outlines 10 reasons why I believe you may have had trouble selling your home, while it was listed with another real estate company.  These suggestions reflect what I see as to why many homes listed do not sell during the listing period.  Please note that these reasons are only one REALTOR®’s conclusions and do not direct any accusations or suggest purposeful wrongdoing by any other real estate company and/or their agents.

  1. Your Property Was Priced Too High!                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Like it or not, price is generally the main culprit when it comes to why homes do not sell.  Yes, the property might be in a poor location or have other negative factors impacting the value, but the bottom line is that somewhere out there, at “some” price, there is a buyer willing to purchase that property.  If the price is attractive enough, or priced below market value, there is always a buyer willing to purchase it.  Making certain your real estate is priced at market value is important, if you’re serious about selling.
  2. Your Property Was Not Listed On The Multiple Listing Service (MLS®).                                                                                                                                                                                                    If you opted to try selling your home on your own (FSBO), or to exclusively list your property with one REALTOR®, then your home may not have been exposed to enough buyers.  It’s imperative that your property be in the correct position on the MLS® to gain the maximum exposure to REALTOR®s selling property in your area.
  3.  Lack of Staging.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Did your REALTOR® help stage the home or make suggestions as to enhance the marketability?  If not, this could be one of the downfalls of not finding a buyer for your property.  Remember that you can do all of the staging in the world, but if your property is priced too high, staging will not sell it.  One of the ways that you can determine if staging is a factor is by judging the number of showings you had.  A lot of showings and no offers could indicate that staging might help.
  4. Photos.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Many times, as a real estate professional, I have noticed properties listed that have had few, if any, photos or virtual tours featured on the listing.  Ask yourself if this may have played a role in the marketing exposure of your home.
  5.  Lack of Facts.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Sometimes a commonly overlooked aspect of marketing a home is a lack of relevant information. Facts about improvements made to the property can be a good marketing tool in building value in the minds of potential buyers. Are there any improvements being made to the community…new development, amenities, transportation improvements, etc?
  6.  Lack of Open Houses.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Many REALTOR®s do not like to hold open houses, as they assume that people not working with a real estate associate aren’t qualified or that it is just ‘nosy neighbors’ that check out open houses.  I believe it is important to expose your property to as many people as possible (other REALTOR®s and the general public). Open houses are excellent ways to get people inside your dwelling and then get them interested in the property! And if it is a neighbor checking it out, if they live in and love your neighborhood, they most likely know people, such as friends or family members, who have expressed interest in moving to their neighborhood.
  7.  Working with the Neighbors.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Who has a vested interest in the sale of your home besides you… your neighbors!  That’s not too say that your neighbors will be glad to see you leave, only that they will have a concerned interest as to who might move in.  Usually if your neighbors know someone interested in your neighborhood and can help sell your property, they will!  This is generally a winning scenario for everyone involved.
  8.  No Internet Presence.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Unfortunately, many REALTOR®s still haven’t invested in establishing an online presence.  Many buyers are starting their home search online and relying upon it to find their next home. According to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR®), 88% of home buyers in 2011 used the Internet in their home search. If your property is not properly positioned and presented on the Internet, today’s tech savvy buyers likely won’t even see it.
  9. Communication.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        One of the main functions of your REALTOR® in listing your property is to a make certain the listing is exposed to the other REALTOR®s in your community.  Networking with other REALTOR®s and participating in REALTOR® caravans or REALTOR® open houses is a positive marketing tool.
  10.  Dramatic Change in Market Conditions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Unfortunately, you can use the services of any REALTOR® and have your home positioned well based on the market conditions when you first enter the marketplace, but a sudden shift in market conditions, or major world events, can cause your home not to sell. Examples of this include a sudden unexpected increase in interest rates, the recent worldwide economic crises, a terrorist attack that causes uncertainty in the financial markets, war, etc.

Don’t be discouraged if your home did not sell the first go around.  Make sure your property is priced correctly; follow these suggestions, have a positive outlook and I’m certain your property will sell.

Sometimes a fresh new sign, a new marketing plan and a change of perspective can be a good thing for everyone involved.  If you think you might be ready for a new plan and some fresh ideas, I would love to visit with you.  Feel free to contact me  Thanks for your time and I hope to hear from you soon.