Posts Tagged ‘Calgary Real estate Marker’

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot: April 1, 2018

Tuesday, April 3rd, 2018

Calgary Real Estate Absorption Rate

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market, This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date with how the market is trending and to stay ahead of most! All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors. I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion.

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory – the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

 

Current Absorption Rate

The good news part of the stats show that sales rose by 25.6% over Febuary while the inventory rose by only 22.5% keeping the balance similar.  The Absorption rate for all categories decreased slightly except apartment condos which increased by .47

End of Feb 2018       Mar 2018    Change
Detached 3.74 3.61 -0.13
Semi Detached 5.05 4.70 -0.35
Attached – Row 5.86 5.77 -0.08
Apartment 7.24 7.72 0.47
Total City 4.76 4.64 -0.12

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

In March, our inventory increased in all Sectors. This is totally expected at this time of year.  This trend is anticipated for the next few months.

Inventory Feb 2018       Feb Mar 2018    Change
Detached 2456 3063 607
Semi Detached 540 677 137
Attached – Row 779 941 162
Apartment 1427 1690 263
Total City 5202 6371 1169

 

Calgary Sales:  For me this is the category that is concerning.  Sales numbers all increased for March which is a normal trend.  What you cannot see here is that sales for the first three months are below last years sales by 18% which is substantial.  Some things that might be affecting sales include:

  • The Weather
  • Mortgage rule changes that the Federal Government implemented on Jan 1, 2018
  • Consumer confidence in Calgary

As I have predicted in the past I believe it may take 6 months total for the mortgage rules to settle out before we start seeing more normal sales numbers.

Calgary Sales  Feb 2018         Mar 2018    Change % Change
Detached 657 848 191 29.07%
Semi Detached 107 144 37 34.58%
Attached – Row 133 163 30 22.56%
Apartment 197 219 22 11.17%
Total City 1094 1374 280 25.59%

  

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Prices in March  showed very little change for all categories.

  Sales Prices Feb 2018   Benchmark Price   Mar 2018   Benchmark Price Change
Detached 502,800 503,800 1,000
Semi Detached 418,800 418,800 0
Attached – Row 295,400 297,600 2,200
Apartment 256,400 257,100 700
Total City 434,300 435,600 1,300

  

Sales Prices “Year to Date”  

Sales Prices Jan 1, 2018    Benchmark Price  Mar 2018   Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 499,600 503,800 4,200 0.84%
Semi Detached 416,600 418,800 2,200 0.53%
Attached – Row 299,500 297,600 -1,900 -0.63%
Apartment 257,700 257,100 -600 -0.23%
Total City 433,200 435,600 2,400 0.55%

  

**Please note that these numbers include only Calgary homes and do change on a community basis and more so for towns.  This report does not include rural properties.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or about Real Estate in general, please feel free to contact us.