Posts Tagged ‘Calgary Housing Stats’

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot – Dec 1, 2020

Tuesday, December 1st, 2020

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

The market is simply a result of Supply and Demand therefore we look at both Supply (inventory) and Demand (Sales) and the relationship between the two.  We also update you on the current benchmark price for all housing sectors.

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector.  Looking at a 2-year trendline gives you and indication of where things are really heading.

2 Year Graph showing months of Inventory.

Following is a summary of what I deem to be the most important numbers.  Again, we look at Total Inventory, Sales for the past 30 days, Months of Inventory and of course the benchmark price.  All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate boards monthly stats package.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our total listing inventory dropped in all sectors with inventory decreasing by 805 listings or a 13.8% drop from October. This is simply a normal seasonal adjustment and we can expect listings to drop further through December.

Calgary Sales:

November sales decreased in all sectors.  The largest drop was in detached homes and it dropped by 256 sales or 22.48% from October.  The total decrease was 327 sales less or a decrease of 18.54%.  As with inventory, sales declining in November is strictly a seasonal adjustment and we will see a further decline in December.

 Sales Compared to 2019:

It is critical to note that in all my other numbers I look at month over month.  This chart below shows us the numbers this year compared to last year.   Although November sales slowed, we were still 327 sales higher than last year or 25.4% higher.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2019 801 973 1327 1544 1915 1775 1642 1580 1365 1438 1146 858
2020 861 1195 1175 573 1080 1747 1835 80 1702 1764 1437  
Change +60 +222 -152 -971 -835 -28 +194 -7 337 +326 +327  
% change +7.49 +22.8 -11.4 -62.8 -45.5 -1.6 +11.82% N/A 24.87% +22.67% +25.4%  

  

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

For the 4th month in a row we saw the Benchmark Sales price in Calgary increase. The overall increase was $3,600.  All sectors except Apartment Condos increased.  Apartment Condo sector decreased by $3,200.

  

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices Year to Date

Since the beginning of the year

Detached homes increased by $11,900

Semi-Detached homes increased by $1,000

Attached Row houses decreased by $800.

Apartment Condos decreased by $3,000

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of Inventory decreased in Semi-detached homes by .24

Every other sector saw a small increase in the Months of Inventory.

It is also important to note that these numbers vary by community, and by price range.  If you would like numbers for your community contact us.   For example, many communities if I look at listings under $500,000. they are showing being in a Sellers Market position and are getting competing offers.

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot, March 1, 2015

Tuesday, March 3rd, 2015

Stay ahead of the curve by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market. The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and the effect on the price of Calgary Real Estate. A simple way to keep up to date and ahead of most!

Below are the details along with a few comments, all numbers were taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors.

Want to see stats specific to your Community? Register for our Market Report at http://www.calgaryareasolds.com/

Find out what your Neighbor’s home sold for – Register for our Market Report at http://www.calgaryareasolds.com/

 

Calgary Real Estate Stats have changed.

The Calgary Real Estate Board just changed the operating system for Realtors and with that the monthly Stats categories have changed as well. Here is the categories.

Old Categories New Categories What’s changed
Single Family Home Detached Does not include attached homes
Condo Townhouse Attached Now includes Attached Homes
Condo Apartment Apartment Condos Same

 

What this means is simply that attached homes are now taken out of the Single family category and lumped in with the townhouse category. There are a few other classification changes but they are very small and won’t show in the stats. This will affect a few of the numbers below.

 

Oil Prices and the impact on the Calgary Real Estate Market.

I am certainly not going to predict the future here as I am not an expert in the Oil Industry. What I find interesting is that in what I have been reading there seems to be two sides

  • Optimists are predicting that we will be back to at least the 60 – 70 dollar oil by mid year
  • The pessimists are saying that we will be low forever or years anyway

 

My Stats summary below will show you the facts of what has happened to date and some short term predictions. Please note that the market shifted very fast and when oil prices rebound the market can shift very quickly in the other direction. The big question is when? And if you have the answer to that please share it with me.

 

Now onto the Stats Market Snapshot

 

Calgary Listing Inventory: Yes, listings are up again in all categories this month. In Feb we usually see an increase from January and will typically see listing numbers increase in the next 3 to 4 months.

 

Inventory Jan 2015 Feb 2015 Change
Detached 2359 2830 +471
Attached 950 1190 +240
Apartment 1117 1276 +159
Total City of Calgary 4426 5296 +870

 

Calgary Sales:

While we are down considerably from last year’s sales the sales increased substantially over January. What I noticed is that first 2 weeks of Feb were similar to January the last 2 weeks picked up.

Sales Jan 2015 Feb 2015 Change % Change
Detached 535 739 +204 +38.1%
Attached 190 261 +71 +37.3%
Apartment 155 217 +62 +40.0%
Total City of Calgary 880 1217 +337 +39.3%

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Prices in all categories decreased this month. The largest decrease is in Apartment condos which have the highest inventory compared to sales. This trend will continue as long as the absorption rates stay where they are.

Sales Prices Jan 2014 Benchmark Price Feb 2015 Benchmark Price Change
Detached 518,600 516,000 -2,600
Attached 356,000 354,600 -1,800
Apartment 298,700 296,000 -2,700
Total City of Calgary 459,100 456,300 -2,800

 

Sales Prices “Year to Date”

Year to date prices – Again, all categories decreased but none substantially.

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2014 Benchmark Price Feb 2015 Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 518,600 516,000 -$2,600 -.5%
Attached 356,200 354,600 -$2,200 -.61%
Apartment 300,400 296,000 -$4,400 -1.45%
Total City of Calgary 459,500 456,300 -$3,200 -.7%

 

  

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)  (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.8 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.8 Drives prices up

 

*** Absorption Rate:

The absorption rate decreased for all categories. What this means is that the relation to sales over inventory decreased. This change put detached homes back into a balanced market while all other categories stayed in a Buyers Market.

Absorption Rate Jan 2015 Feb 2015   Change
Detached 4.41 3.83 -.58
Attached 5.0 4.56 -.44%
Apartment 7.21 5.88 -1.33%
Total City of Calgary 5.03 4.35 -.68%

 

**Please note that these numbers do change on a community basis and more so for towns. If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know. If you have any questions about this summary, the attached stats package or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.