Posts Tagged ‘nw calgary real estate prices’

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot, March 1, 2015

Tuesday, March 3rd, 2015

Stay ahead of the curve by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market. The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and the effect on the price of Calgary Real Estate. A simple way to keep up to date and ahead of most!

Below are the details along with a few comments, all numbers were taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors.

Want to see stats specific to your Community? Register for our Market Report at http://www.calgaryareasolds.com/

Find out what your Neighbor’s home sold for – Register for our Market Report at http://www.calgaryareasolds.com/

 

Calgary Real Estate Stats have changed.

The Calgary Real Estate Board just changed the operating system for Realtors and with that the monthly Stats categories have changed as well. Here is the categories.

Old Categories New Categories What’s changed
Single Family Home Detached Does not include attached homes
Condo Townhouse Attached Now includes Attached Homes
Condo Apartment Apartment Condos Same

 

What this means is simply that attached homes are now taken out of the Single family category and lumped in with the townhouse category. There are a few other classification changes but they are very small and won’t show in the stats. This will affect a few of the numbers below.

 

Oil Prices and the impact on the Calgary Real Estate Market.

I am certainly not going to predict the future here as I am not an expert in the Oil Industry. What I find interesting is that in what I have been reading there seems to be two sides

  • Optimists are predicting that we will be back to at least the 60 – 70 dollar oil by mid year
  • The pessimists are saying that we will be low forever or years anyway

 

My Stats summary below will show you the facts of what has happened to date and some short term predictions. Please note that the market shifted very fast and when oil prices rebound the market can shift very quickly in the other direction. The big question is when? And if you have the answer to that please share it with me.

 

Now onto the Stats Market Snapshot

 

Calgary Listing Inventory: Yes, listings are up again in all categories this month. In Feb we usually see an increase from January and will typically see listing numbers increase in the next 3 to 4 months.

 

Inventory Jan 2015 Feb 2015 Change
Detached 2359 2830 +471
Attached 950 1190 +240
Apartment 1117 1276 +159
Total City of Calgary 4426 5296 +870

 

Calgary Sales:

While we are down considerably from last year’s sales the sales increased substantially over January. What I noticed is that first 2 weeks of Feb were similar to January the last 2 weeks picked up.

Sales Jan 2015 Feb 2015 Change % Change
Detached 535 739 +204 +38.1%
Attached 190 261 +71 +37.3%
Apartment 155 217 +62 +40.0%
Total City of Calgary 880 1217 +337 +39.3%

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Prices in all categories decreased this month. The largest decrease is in Apartment condos which have the highest inventory compared to sales. This trend will continue as long as the absorption rates stay where they are.

Sales Prices Jan 2014 Benchmark Price Feb 2015 Benchmark Price Change
Detached 518,600 516,000 -2,600
Attached 356,000 354,600 -1,800
Apartment 298,700 296,000 -2,700
Total City of Calgary 459,100 456,300 -2,800

 

Sales Prices “Year to Date”

Year to date prices – Again, all categories decreased but none substantially.

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2014 Benchmark Price Feb 2015 Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 518,600 516,000 -$2,600 -.5%
Attached 356,200 354,600 -$2,200 -.61%
Apartment 300,400 296,000 -$4,400 -1.45%
Total City of Calgary 459,500 456,300 -$3,200 -.7%

 

  

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)  (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.8 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.8 Drives prices up

 

*** Absorption Rate:

The absorption rate decreased for all categories. What this means is that the relation to sales over inventory decreased. This change put detached homes back into a balanced market while all other categories stayed in a Buyers Market.

Absorption Rate Jan 2015 Feb 2015   Change
Detached 4.41 3.83 -.58
Attached 5.0 4.56 -.44%
Apartment 7.21 5.88 -1.33%
Total City of Calgary 5.03 4.35 -.68%

 

**Please note that these numbers do change on a community basis and more so for towns. If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know. If you have any questions about this summary, the attached stats package or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot Feb 1, 2015

Monday, February 2nd, 2015

Stay ahead of the curve by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market. The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and the effect on the price of Calgary Real Estate. A simple way to keep up to date and ahead of most!

Below are the details along with a few comments, all numbers were taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors.

Want to see stats specific to your Community? Register for our Market Report at http://www.calgaryareasolds.com/

Find out what your Neighbor’s home sold for – Register for our Market Report at http://www.calgaryareasolds.com/

 

Calgary Real Estate Stats have changed.

The Calgary Real Estate Board just changed the operating system for Realtors and with that the Monthly Stats categories have changed as well. Here is the categories.

Old Categories New Categories What’s changed
Single Family Home Detached Does not include attached homes
Condo Townhouse Attached Now includes Attached Homes
Condo Apartment Apartment Condos No Change

 

What this means is simply that attached homes are now taken out of the Single family category and lumped in with the townhouse category. There are a few other classification changes but they are very small and won’t show in the stats. This will affect a few of the numbers below.

 

Oil Prices and the impact on the Calgary Real Estate Market.

I am certainly not going to predict the future here as I am not an expert in the Oil Industry. What I find interesting is that in what I have been reading there seems to be two sides

  • Optimists are predicting that we will be back to at least the 60 – 70 dollar oil by mid year
  • The pessimists are saying that we will be low forever or years anyway

 

My Stats summary below will show you the facts of what has happened to date and some short term predictions. Please note that the market shifted very fast and when oil prices rebound the market can shift very quickly in the other direction. The big question is when? And if you have the answer to that please share it with me.

 

Now onto the Stats Market Snapshot

 

Calgary Listing Inventory:  Yes, Listings are up substantially this month. While January we usually see an increase from December,  this number is very large. With the uncertainty around the oil prices many people that would have listed in spring jumped into the market early.

 

Inventory Dec 2014 Jan 2015 Change
Detached 1496 2359 +863
Attached 315 950 +635
Apartment 745 1117 +372
Total City of Calgary 2883 4426 +1543

 

Calgary Sales:

Typically sales in January increase over December however this is not the case this year.

If I compare sales numbers to last January (which was a strong month) we are down about 37% in total sales.

Sales Dec 2014 Jan 2015 Change % Change
Detached 607 535 -72 -11.8%
Attached 252 190 -60 -23.8%
Apartment 223 155 -68 -30.4%
Total City of Calgary 1082 880 -202 -18.7%

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

Although we have seen a large increase in inventory and a large decrease in sales, the prices have changed very little so far.

Sales Prices Dec 2014 Benchmark Price Jan 2015 Benchmark Price Change
Detached 518,600 518,600 0
Attached 350,000 341,850 -8,150
Apartment 300,400 298,700 -1,700
Total City of Calgary 459,500 459,100 -400

 

Sales Prices “Year to Date”

Year to date prices – Same as above as were in first month.

Sales Prices Dec 31, 2014 Benchmark Price Jan 2015 Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 518,600 518,600 0 0
Attached 350,000 341,850 -8,150 -2.3%
Apartment 300,400 298,700 -1,700 -.6%
Total City of Calgary 459,500 459,100 -400 -.09%

  

 

 

Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory)  (the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.8 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.8 Drives prices up

 

*** Absorption Rate:

The absorption rate increased substantially for all categories. While last month we were still in a seller’s market we have clearly moved to a buyer’s market. What this would typically mean is that until things change we are seeing a high supply and weak demand which will put downward pressure on pricing as buyer’s in this market can typically negotiate better prices.

 

Absorption Rate Dec 2014 Jan 2015 Change
Detached 2.46 4.41 +1.95
Attached 1.25 5.0 +3.75
Apartment 3.34 7.21 +2.16
Total City of Calgary 2.66 5.03 +2.37

 

**Please note that these numbers do change on a community basis and more so for towns. If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know. If you have any questions about this summary, the attached stats package or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us.