Posts Tagged ‘What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market’

March 1, 2019 Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Friday, March 1st, 2019

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Stay ahead of everyone else by following our Monthly Market Snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market. This shows what’s really happening! The market is driven by supply and demand so here we show the inventory (supply) and sales (demand) and most importantly the relationship between the two and how it affects the price of Calgary Real Estate.  A simple way to keep up to date with how the market is trending and to stay ahead of most! All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats package for Realtors. I have also included some general comments which are simply my opinion.

Months of Inventory:  If we did not list any more homes this is how many months it would take to deplete inventory.

Months of Inventory/Absorption Rate – the inventory divided by the number of sales in the last month). What does this mean you might ask?

Buyer’s Market >4.0 Drives prices down
Balanced Market Between 2.4 to 4.0 Prices typically remain stable
Seller’s Market <2.4 Drives prices up

 

Current Report:  March 1, 2019

This graph shows the 2 year Trend of the number of months of inventory for a housing sectors.

Graph shows the 2 year trend of months of Inventory of all sectors of homes in the Calgary Market.

Current Months of Inventory: 

In February our months of inventory decreased in every housing sector in Calgary.  Although we are certainly in a Buyer’s market this month all sectors moved toward a more balanced market which in my opinion is a great sign.

End of Jan 2019 Feb 2019 Change
Detached 5.83 5.04 -0.79
Semi Detached 7.64 6.63 -1.01
Attached – Row 7.64 6.98 -0.65
Apartment 9.31 8.73 -0.58
Total City 6.81 6.03 -0.78

 

 Calgary Listing Inventory

In February our months of inventory increased in all categories.  This increase is totally expected as we move further away from the holiday season.

Inventory (End of) Jan 2019 Feb 2019 Change
 Detached 2834 2987 153
Semi Detached 649 689 40
Attached – Row 817 908 91
Apartment 1173 1301 128
Total Calgary 5473 5885 412

 

 Calgary Sales:

Sales for February increased in all sectors compared to January.   Although the increase was not substantial it is good to see a change of direction.

Calgary Sales  Jan 2019 Feb 2019 Change % Change
Detached 486 593 107 22.02%
Semi Detached 85 104 19 22.35%
Attached – Row 107 130 23 21.50%
Apartment 126 149 23 18.25%
Total City 804 976 172 21.39%

 

***Sales Compared to last year***

In Feb our sales were 89.6% of last years sales so a decrease of 10.4%.  This trend in my opinion is expected to continue until our economy and consumer confidence change direction.  I am also starting to see and hear from clients who are getting ready to take advantage of the low prices which may kickstart things a little.

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov  Dec
2018 102% 82% 72% 80% 82% 89% 95% 93% 85.9% 89.9% 83.0 78.6
2019 83.8% 89.6%

 

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:

February saw a very small decrease in prices in detached and Semi-Detached homes.   Attached (Row) houses and Apartment condos showed a slight gain.  Based on our absorption rate (months of inventory) we can expect prices to continue to trend downward.

  Sales Prices Jan 2018     Benchmark Price  Feb 2019   Benchmark Price Change
Detached 476,500 475,600 -900
Semi Detached 393,100 392,500 -600
Attached – Row 284,300 284,600 300
Apartment 251,300 252,300 1,000
Total City 414,800 414,400 -400

 

 Sales Prices “Year to Date”  

Sales Prices Jan 2019    Benchmark Price  Feb 1, 2019    Benchmark Price Change

$

% Change
Detached 481,400 475,600 -5,800 -1.20%
Semi Detached 397,500 392,500 -5,000 -1.26%
Attached – Row 288,400 284,600 -3,800 -1.32%
Apartment 251,500 252,300 800 0.32%
Total City 418,500 414,400 -4,100 -0.98%

 **Please note that these numbers include only Calgary and do change on a community basis and more so for towns. This report does not include rural properties and does not take into account differences in different price ranges.  If you would like to find stats on your community just let me know.  If you have any questions about this summary or about Real Estate in general, please feel free to contact us.