Posts Tagged ‘TSW Real Estate Group’

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot February 1, 2024

Thursday, February 1st, 2024

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Graph of Months of Inventory

Graph of Months of Inventory

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

January 2024  Highlights

The seasonal slowdown is over and here we go again!

  • Inventory decreased again however only marginally.
  • Sales increased by 20.79 over December.
  • Prices increased slightly.
  • Seller’s market continues….

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our listing inventory declined but by only fourteen listings, so we are the same as last month.

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in January increased over December by 20.79%   The reason for this increase is that new listings increased to 2137 new listings in January compared to 1248 new listings in December. I have said it before, and I will say it again that our sales depend on the number of listings as the demand is far more substantial than our supply.

 

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for November were up by 8.8% from last year. The demand is still extraordinarily strong so the more we can list the more we sell.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
2022 1198
2023 1650
Change +452
% Change 37.7%

 

  July 2023 Aug 2023 Sept 2023 Oct 2023 Nov 2023 Dec 2023
2022 2249 2133 1893 1855 1642 1200
2023 2647 2729 2441 2171 1787 1366
Change +398 +596 +548 316 +145 +166
% Change +17.7% 27.9% +28.9% +17.1% 8.8% 15.5%

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The overall Benchmark price increased by $2,200, All sectors increased except Semi-Detached which declined by $2,100. Detached homes saw the largest increase at $4,800.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  Same as above. 

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Our Months of Inventory declined again by .28 putting us into an even deeper Sellers Market. The only sector that increased was the Semi-Detached sector and it increased by .1.

My Prediction for what is ahead: 

2024 will be a year of a Sellers Market and we will see substantial price increases in all Sectors. The root cause of our market imbalance continues to be immigration and I do not see that changing anytime soon.

 

**Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

*All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

 

Blog Link:

 

See Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Market Below

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot for Jan 1, 2024

Tuesday, January 2nd, 2024

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Graph of Months of Inventory

Graph of Months of Inventory

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

December 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market remains tight – exceptionally low in supply.

  • Sales declined by 11.06%
  • Sales are up from last December.
  • Prices declined marginally.
  • Seller’s market continues….

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our listing inventory remains extremely low with a total of 2164 listings on the market. This number decreased by 27.6% from November. It’s important to note that this number is only 55 listings lower than on Dec 31, 2022.  It is quite normal that the number of new listings declines at this time of year and I’m confident we will start seeing this number increase.

Calgary Sales:

Sales in December were down by 421 or 23.5% from November. The decreases were somewhat consistent in all sectors. This decline is very normal in December as Holiday celebrations trump Real Estate for many people.

As I have said many times what is keeping our sales down is our Inventory if there were more listings we would certainly sell more. It is interesting to note that Row Houses only decreased by 5.2%

 Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for December were up by 13.8% from last year. The demand is still extraordinarily strong so the more we can list the more we sell.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2837
2023 1199 1740 2432 2690 3120 3146
Change -805 -1565 -1659 -711 +57 +309
% Change -40.1% -47.4% -40.55% -20.9% +1.9% +10.9%

 

  July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2022 2249 2133 1893 1855 1642 1200
2023 2647 2729 2441 2171 1785 1366
Change +398 +596 +548 316 143 166
% Change +17.7% 27.9% +28.9% +17.1% 8.7% 13.8%

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The overall benchmark price decreased by $2,600 this month. The largest decreases were in the Attached-Row sector followed by Detached and then Semi-Detached. Price of Apartment condos increased by $1,300.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary in 2023, we saw an increase in all sectors of 9.89% or $51,300.

The lowest dollar increase was apartment condos at $46,600 followed by Attached Row at $66,800 then Semi-Detached at $64,100, and the highest sector is Detached homes at $77,800. It is important to note that this is a Calgary number and each community within Calgary will be different – some higher and some lower.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

All sectors except Apartment Condos saw a small decrease in the Months of Inventory. Apartment Condos increased by .12. All sectors remain fairly deep in a seller’s market position.

 

My Prediction for what is ahead:  In 2024, I believe we are going to see more of the same. I know the demand is outpacing the supply by quite a but. What this means if we list more homes then it will increase our Sales not our inventory so we can expect a low inventory throughout 2024. Sales will either stay on pace or increase, and the months of inventory will remain low keeping us in a seller’s market ultimately increasing prices again.

 

**Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

 

*All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

 

See Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Market Below

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Sept 1, 2023 Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Saturday, September 2nd, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 

Months of Inventory

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

August 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market is maintaining its strength, with no substantial change.

  • August sales reached a record high with 2729 sales.
  • August inventory dropped to a record low of 3254 units, well below the 6000 units typically available.
  • Prices continue to increase.
  • Seller’s market continues.

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our listing inventory remains very low with a total of 3254 listings on the market, a decrease of 234 units since August 1st.   Its important to note that new listings are up, but they are being absorbed so the inventory is not increasing. Typically, in August we would see inventory rising but that is just not happening.

Calgary Sales:

Sales in August were up by 82 or 3.1% over July.  The largest sales increase was in the Apartment condo sector at 13.47%.

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for August were up by 27.9% from last year.  I attribute this to an increase in listings.  The demand is certainly still large so the more we can list the more we sell.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2837
2023 1199 1740 2432 2690 3120 3146
Change -805 -1565 -1659 -711 +57 +309
% Change -40.1% -47.4% -40.55% -20.9% +1.9% +10.9%

 

  July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2022 2249 2133        
2023 2647 2729        
Change +398 +596        
% Change +17.7% 27.9%        

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The overall benchmark price continues to increase. The overall benchmark price increased by$3000 or .53%.   The increase in Benchmark was consistent across all Sectors.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary we have so far seen an increase in all sectors of 10% or $51,900.

The lowest dollar increases so far has been apartment condos at $34,300 and the highest is Detached homes at $77,100.  It is important to note that this is a Calgary number and each community within Calgary will be different – some higher and some lower.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Months of Inventory has decreased in all but the Semi-Detached sector which saw a very small increase. This decrease is a change from last month when months of inventory rose.

My Prediction for what is ahead:  Based on what is driving demand (immigration) and I do not see that changing any time soon, I predict sales are going to remain strong and prices are going to continue to trend upwards although based on trends I see us slowly climbing out of the seller’s market, but it will likely take months.

**Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

 

*All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats