Archive for the ‘Blog’ Category

Spring 2012 edition of CMHC’s Housing Market Outlook – Calgary

Sunday, June 24th, 2012

The Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation has released it’s new Spring 2012 edition of CMHC’s housing Market Outlook for Calgary.  I have simply taken some key points that I thought were interesting and hopefully you find them interesting as well.

To view a full copy of their report  click here

http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64339/64339_2012_B01.pdf

If you like the information you can sign up with CMHC and receive their reports in your inbox .  Check out available reports directly from CMHC

New Housing

Total housing starts are forecast to rise 25% in 2012.  Single Family home starts are forecast to rise by 12% while multi family starts are forecast to increase by 40 % in 2012.

 Resale Housing

CMHC is forecasting that MLS Sales will increase by 9% in 2012.

The average price is forecast to increase by 1.8% in 2012

Rental Market

The  vacancy rate is forecast to decline again in 2012 putting upward pressure on rental prices.

Economic Overview

Employment is expected to increase by 2.9% in 2012

Average weekly earnings increased in the first quarter of 2012, up five per cent year-over-year

Migration flows to Calgary are expected to increase as labour market conditions improve

As a result, net migration in 2012 is forecast to reach 17,000 migrants, up 52 per cent from 2011

Mortgage Rate Outlook

Although there is significant uncertainty, consensus forecasts suggest that interest rates are not expected to rise until at least later in 2012, but will remain low by historical standards, thus supporting the Canadian housing  market.

Gord

Visit us at http://www.gordpiper.com/

 

Should you consider a 10 year mortgage?

Friday, June 22nd, 2012
Some thoughts from Bob Alexander with Verico Maximum Mortgage Inc.

The number 10 has recently become quite significant in my world.

Next month, I will have been a mortgage broker for 10 years. It has gone by quickly and I would like to say a big thank you to all who have supported and trusted me to obtain financing for the largest investment of their lives. It is indeed an honour and a pleasure.

The other historical event happening involves the current 10 year fixed mortgage.

I have always stressed having a strategy when deciding on what mortgage product is best for my clients. This strategy involves paying the least amount of interest over the life of owning a home and not necessarily the lowest rate. We are now at a perfect time in history to show the benefits of this strategy. Currently the 5 year fixed mortgage has a rate of 3.09% which is the lowest 5 year fixed rate I have seen. This is not what I am recommending to my clients. I am, however, recommending a 10 year fixed rate mortgage with a current rate of 3.89%. (The lowest 10 year rate in over 60 years)

If fixed rate mortgages are currently the lowest they have been in a very long time they can really only go up. If you review the history of fixed and variable rate mortgages in Canada for the last 25 years, each low interest period is followed by a rather quick increase in rates. This increase will surely happen again but by how much? No one knows for sure but historically (per the Bank of Canada) the average posted 5 year fixed rates have averaged 8% over the last 25 years. Discounted rates (the rates that I can get) are approximately 2% below this, so 6%.

The key to considering the 10 year is the understanding that you will pay more interest in the first 5 years (3.89% versus 3.09%) and gamble that fixed interest rates in 5 years’ time will be high enough to more than offset this. To see how much higher future interest rates will need to be, I have done a calculation based on a mortgage of $550,000.00 with a 25 year amortization. The math showed that as long as 5 year fixed interest rates were higher than 4.75% in 5 years’ time, the 10 year was a better option and cost the client less in interest costs. So, if history is a help at all and rates are 6% in 5 years’ time taking the 10 is largely a no brainer.

Clients should also be aware that the 10 year mortgage is fully portable (you can take it with you when you buy another home) and if you decide to pay it out early, the only penalty will be three months interest. This is because the chances of IRD (interest rate differential) applying are slim to none. IRD only applies where current rates are lower than the mortgage rate you have. Today’s rates are the lowest I have seen so the chance of even lower rates in 5 years’ time is almost unthinkable.

Consider the 10 year – you will be glad you did!

 

Please Contact Bob Alexander For Further Information About This Commentary or To Discuss Your Mortgage Action Plan

Your Mortgage Doctor
Bob Alexander, B.Comm, CMA, AMP

Phone: 403-875-5270
Email: bob@mortgagedoctors.ca
www.mortgagedoctors.ca

 

Government Changes Mortgage Rules

Wednesday, June 20th, 2012

As part of the Government’s continuous efforts to strengthen Canada’s housing finance system, the Honourable Jim Flaherty, Minister of Finance, today announced further adjustments to the rules for government-backed insured mortgages.

The Government is announcing four measures for new government-backed insured mortgages with loan-to-value ratios of more than 80 per cent:
Reduce the maximum amortization period to 25 years from 30 years. This will reduce the total interest payments Canadian families make on their mortgages, helping them build up equity in their homes more quickly and pay off their mortgages sooner. The maximum amortization period was set at 35 years in 2008 and further reduced to 30 years in 2011.
Lower the maximum amount Canadians can borrow when refinancing to 80 per cent from 85 per cent of the value of their homes. This will promote saving through home ownership and encourage homeowners to prudently manage borrowings against their homes.

Fix the maximum gross debt service ratio at 39 per cent and the maximum total debt service ratio at 44 per cent. This will better protect Canadian households that may be vulnerable to economic shocks or an increase in interest rates.

Limit the availability of government-backed insured mortgages to homes with a purchase price of less than $1 million.

Minister Flaherty said the new rules will take effect on July 9, 2012.
So what does this mean to you?
Based on previous history, pre-approvals currently with lenders that do not go live prior to July 9th will NOT be grandfathered and will be re-issued with 25 year amortization.
Live deals approved by CMHC prior to July 9th with dates of possession after July 9th will still have the option of 30 year amortization if needed.
So, if you are still debating about buying a home, you should call me to see how this might affect your buying power!

Sincerely,
Bob Alexander ( Accredited Mortgage Professional )

Verico Maximum Mortgage Inc


email: bob@mortgagedoctors.ca

phone: 403-241-3949

web: http://www.mortgagedoctors.ca

If you would like further information on how these changes might affect the Real Estate market please contact me.

Gord

May 2012 Calgary Real Estate Stats Snapshot

Sunday, June 3rd, 2012
Gord Piper and Associates are proud to present a snapshot of the Calgary Real Estate Market for May 2012. Below you will find a summary of some key areas with a few short comments.  All data is taken from the Calgary Real Estate Board‘s monthly stats package.

Calgary Listing Inventory: Inventory levels for all categories increased by almost 9.0 %.  Rising inventories can be a flag for the market cooling however the sales also increased by 8.2% so we are still below a
2.5 month inventory turnover indicating a balanced market.

Inventory April  2012 May  2012 Change
Single
Family Home
3501 3842 +341
Condo  Townhouse
612 675 +63
Condo  Apartment
1157 1222 +65
Total
5270 5739 +469
Calgary Sales:
Sales increased in all categories equally this month.  What’s interesting is that for all categories combined we are 31.77% higher than the same period last year.
Sales April  2012 May  2012 Change % Change
Single Family Home 1581 1710 +129 +8.2
Condo
Townhouse
267 289 +22 +8.2
Condo Apartment 351 386
+35
+9.9
Total 2200 2385 185 +8.4
Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  Please note that we are now using the Benchmark price for this comparison.
With inventory increasing only slightly and sales increasing slightly it only makes sense that we see prices
start to rise.  As you can see below Single Family homes saw the largest increase.  I believe this is because the increase in sales activity on single family homes started a few months before condo sales started increasing.
Sales Prices April  2012 Benchmark Price May  2012 Benchmark Price Change
Single Family Homes 422,000 427,500 +5,500
Condo Townhouse 276,400 277,000 +600
Condo
Apartment
243,400 245,400 +2,000
Overall the market is now in a balanced market position and the amount of new listings in the next month might determine the direction for the rest of the year.   It is interesting as there are still many communities that are in a buyer’s market position as they have a higher inventory.  If you want to know how your community sit’s please contact us.
Gord, Brent and Eric

 

April 2012 Real Estate Market Snapshot

Monday, April 30th, 2012

Gord Piper and Associate’s are happy to announce that Calgary home sales continue to show strength as our inventory of listings remains flat.   Below you will find a short summary of key numbers in the Calgary Real Estate market.  Stats are all taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Monthly Stats Package produced for Calgary Realtors.

Calgary Listing Inventory:  Inventory levels for Single Family homes increased marginally while Inventory for Condo’s (Townhouse and Apartment) remained flat.   To put this in perspective the inventory at this time last year was 6324 listings or almost 1000 more.   

Inventory  March   2012  April   2012  Change
Single Family Home 3367 3501 + 134
Condo  Townhouse    606 612 + 6
Condo  Apartment   1119 1157 +38
Total 5092 5270 + 178

 Calgary Sales: 

Sales this month were almost the same as last month.  Looking at year over year this is apox a 26% increase in sales over the same month last year.

Sales March  2012 April   2012 Change % Change
Single Family Home 1576 1582 + 6 +.03%
Condo  Townhouse    235 267 +32 +13.6%
Condo Apartment 356 351 –          5 -.09%
Total 2167 2200 +33 +1.52%

 Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  Please note that we are now using the Benchmark price for this comparison.

With inventory increasing only slightly and sales increasing substantially it only makes sense that we see prices start to rise.  As you can see below Single Family homes saw the largest increase.  I believe this is because the increase in sales activity on single family homes started a few months before condo sales started increasing.

Sales Prices March  2012 Benchmark Price    April   2012 Benchmark Price   Change
Single Family Homes 433,500 449500 +16,000
Condo Townhouse    293,600 294,500 +900
Condo  Apartment    247,800 248,300 + 500

Overall the market is now in a seller’s market position while Apartment condos, small towns and country residential are still in a balanced market.  It is interesting as there are still many communities that are in a buyer’s market as they have a higher inventory.  If you want to know how your community sit’s let me know.  

If you have any questions about this summary or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us

Gord, Eric & Brent

For a free market evaluation click here

How to decide if you should replace your windows

Wednesday, April 18th, 2012

How to decide if you should replace your windows

One of the most prominent features of any Calgary home is the windows. When they are well maintained they have a positive impact on the impression people (such as potential buyers) will have of your property. The opposite occurs, of course, when your windows look old and worn. 

So does that mean you should replace your windows?

That depends on a number of factors. Window replacement can be an expensive renovation. Here are a few things to consider before making your decision.

  • Do your windows get frost or condensation build-up on the interior side? This could be a sign that the windows are not keeping out the cold as well as they should.
  • Do you see water infiltration or mildew on the interior sides of any of the window sills? This means that moisture is creeping in from the outside, and you need to get those windows repaired or replaced as soon as possible.
  • If your windows are double-paned – (two panes of glass) – check for any signs of moisture in between the glass panes. Moisture indicates that the thermal seal is broken and at a minimum, the glass will need to be replaced.
  • Take a look at your windows from the outside. Is the trim rotted or cracked anywhere? Are there dark spots or any signs of rotting on the wood frames? Repairs or replacement may be required.
  • Check the operation of your windows. Do they open and close easily? This is important because some windows, such as those in bedrooms, are often designed to be big enough to use as an exit in case of a fire.
  • Finally, are you happy with how your windows look? Do you feel that your property will look significantly better with new windows?

Although they are expensive, replacing windows has a lot of advantages. Depending on the efficiency of your current windows, replacing them could cut your energy costs by 10-20%. In addition, new windows block out more exterior noise, making your home quieter.

Want more tips on increasing the value, and enjoyment, of your property? Contact us

Calgary Real Estate March 2012 snapshot

Tuesday, April 3rd, 2012

Another exciting month in the Calgary Real Estate Market.  With our Inventory increasing only slightly and the sales increasing substantially it is driving prices upwards.  We have noticed that especially in some Northwest Communities it is becoming harder to find quality homes for our clients.   Below you will snapshot of whats happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market.

Calgary Listing Inventory:

Inventory levels for both Single Family homes and Condo’s increased this month.  This movement is normal for this time of year but what is important to look at is the increase compared to our sales. This increase now seems small and what we are seeing on the street is that it is getting hard to find good homes in certain areas now.

Inventory Feb  2012
March   2012 Change
Single
Family Home
3093 3367 274
Condo  Apartment
1031 1119 88
Condo
Townhouse
612 606 -6
Total
4736 5092 +356

Calgary Sales:

The chart below speaks for itself with sales in all categories increasing.         

Sales February  2012 February  2012 Change % Change
Single Family Home 1284 1576 +292 +22.7
Condo Apartment 248 356 +108 +43.5
Condo Townhouse 205 235 +30 +2.2
Total 1737 2167 +430 +24.7%

Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  Please note that we are now using the
Benchmark price from the Calgary Real Estate Board for this comparison.

Again the chart below speaks for itself.  With inventory increasing only slightly and sales increasing substantially it only makes sense that we see prices start to rise.  Simply Supply and demand at work.

Sales Prices Feb 2012
Benchmark Price
March  2012 Benchmark Price Change
Single Family Homes 427,000 433,500 +6500
Condo Apartment 242,900 247,800 +4900
Condo Townhouse 288,600 293,600 +5000

Overall the market is now in a seller’s market position.   It is interesting as there are still many communities that are in a buyer’s market position as they have a higher inventory. If you want to know how your community is positioned let me know.

If you have any questions about this summary, the attached stats package or any Real Estate questions please
feel free to contact us anytime.

Gord, Eric & Brent

Renting Your Home

Sunday, April 1st, 2012

There are many reasons why homeowners choose to get into the
rental market. Many choose to rent out their home or Condo while waiting for
the Calgary Real Estate Market to improve. Some homeowners want to generate
rental income from a second home or vacation property. Still others find
themselves with multiple properties in hand after large life events, such as
marriage, relocation, or inheritance.

Regardless of the reasons for getting into the business of
renting properties, it’s important to get started on the right foot. That
involves asking yourself some hard questions, doing your research, calling in
the experts, and even putting in some elbow grease to get your property ready
for the rental market. Here’s a quick guide to what’s involved.

Mull it over
Owning a rental property is much more than just collecting payments every
month. As a landlord, you are legally responsible for providing a safe, livable
home for your tenants, as well as maintaining the property with timely repairs.
Consider that owning and maintaining rental properties is running a business.
Ensure that you have the time, resources, skills, and patience for the
often-unpredictable nature of the industry.

Do your research
Take a long, hard look at your rental unit and write a list of its attributes,
including square footage, neighborhood, number of bedrooms and bathrooms,
amenities, and yard size. Then, search for comparable units online to get a
good idea for how much you’ll be able to charge.
Number crunching
Once you know how much you’ll be able to charge for your rental property,
consider additional costs, such as the increased price of homeowners’
insurance, the cost of maintenance and repairs, unanticipated damage by
occupants, carrying costs between tenants, and advertising, to name a few.

To outsource, or not to outsource?
If you are interested in renting your property, but don’t want to fulfill the
role of landlord, consider hiring a property management company. In exchange
for a monthly fee, property managers will find and screen tenants, serve as the
main point of contact for occupants, manage repairs, collect rent payments, and
tackle other duties.

Consult a lawyer and accountant
Rental income must be reported on your taxes, but some expenses may be tax deductible.
Consult a qualified accountant to explore the potential financial gains and
losses that come with renting property.

Additionally, consult a real estate attorney in your local area.
While you may be able to find sample rental contracts online, a lawyer who is
familiar with laws and regulations in your local area will make sure that the
lease agreement your tenants will sign is legal, proper, and protects you
in case of unexpected events. Alberta Landlord and Tenant is another great source for lease agreements.

With good preparation, consultations from experts, and an honest
look at the finances involved, homeowners can find renting property to be a
beneficial way to increase income, delay selling a home until the market
improves, or cover costs associated with owning multiple properties.

Considering Buying a Rental Property

In addition to the information above there are many other things to consider including the choice between a house and a condo.   For information on Investment Properties contact us.

February 2012 Calgary Real Estate Market Report

Friday, March 2nd, 2012

Real Estate in Calgary and specifically in Calgary Northwest has picked up the pace substantially.   If you are looking for information specific to your home I would be happy to offer a free no obligation home evaluation.  

 All the numbers below are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Board’s statistics package for Realtors.  Below you will find a summary of some key areas with a few short comments.   

Calgary Listing Inventory:  Inventory levels for both Single Family homes and Condo’s increased this month.   This movement is normal for this time of year and we will most likely see this trend continue for the next several month.  

Inventory   Jan 2012    Feb  2012  Change
Single Family Home 2980 3093 +113
Condo’s 1449 1643 + 194
Total 4430 4736 +306

 

Calgary Sales: 

Calgary Single Family home and Condo sales saw substantial increases in February.         

Sales January 2012 February  2012 Change
Single Family Home 764 1284 + 520
Condo’s 305 453 + 148
Total 1078 1737 + 659

 Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  Please note that this section has changed so the numbers look much different from last month.  In the past the numbers I have always used was the median price as this was in my opinion more accurate than simply using an average.  The Canadian Real Estate Association along with the Calgary Real Estate Board have now introduced the MLS Home Price Index which they believe is more accurate than using the Median price and will show less false increases and decreases.  For the purpose of this I will use their benchmark price – what an average home would sell for.  As you can see by the numbers all categories of housing in Calgary increased in the month of February which makes sense to me as the inventory is up only a little and our sales are up substantially.

Sales Prices January Benchmark Price Feb 2012 Benchmark Price   Change
Single Family Homes 422600 427,000 +$4,400
Condo Townhouse 287,900 288,600 + $700.
Condo Apt Style 237,500 242,900 +$5,400

Overall the market has changed from a strong buyers market to a balanced Market and when I look community by community many popular communities are in a seller’s market position now.

If you have any questions about this summary,  or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us anytime.  

Gord, Eric & Brent

403-861-2256

January 2012 Calgary Housing Statistics

Wednesday, February 1st, 2012

What’s happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market? 

Ever heard that Real Estate is prices are a reflection of Supply and Demand?

Below is a summary made simple – what is happening in Real Estate in Calgary.

Information is taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly statistics package.

Calgary Listing Inventory:  Inventory levels for both Single Family homes and Condo’s increased this month.   This movement is normal for this time of year and we will most likely see this trend continue for the next several month.  

Inventory   December  2011 Jan 2012  Change
Single Family Home 2761 2980 +219
Condo’s 1287 1450 +163
Total 4048 4430 +382

Calgary Sales: 

Calgary Single Family home sales are up over December while Condo sales stayed flat.   Both Single Family home and Condo sales are almost the same as they were in January 2011.         

Sales December 2011 January 2012 Change
Single Family Home 722 773 +51
Condo’s 310 305 -5
Total 1032 1078 +46

 Calgary Real Estate Sales Prices:  In January Single family home median prices remained almost flat while Condo prices decreased by $12,875.  The median prices are not showing any certain direction but are bouncing up and down every month. 

Sales Prices December  Median Prices Jan 2012  Median Prices Change
Single Family Homes $393,750 395,000 +1250
Condo’s $257,875 245,000 -12,875

 Important note – As of Feb 2012 the Calgary Real Estate Board is changing the way it reports statistics.  The Canadian Real Estate Association in partnership with local Real Estate Boards has developed the MLS HPI (Home Price Index).  The Home Price Index identifies  turning points sooner, is the most current and is the most detailed and accurate gauge for Canadian home prices. 

With this change we will need to re-evaluate what information I can post for  monthly.  My goal is simply to make sure you are getting current up to date information that tells the real story about the Calgary Housing Market.

If you have any questions about this summary, the attached stats package or any Real Estate questions please feel free to contact us anytime.  

Gord, Eric & Brent