Posts Tagged ‘YYC Real Estate Prices’

October 1, 2023: Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Thursday, October 5th, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

September 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market is maintaining its strength, with no substantial change.

  • September sales recorded another high at 2441 Sales.
  • New listings increased over August preventing our inventory from declining more.
  • Inventory is 24% lower than last year.
  • Seller’s market continues….

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our listing inventory remains very low with a total of 3369 listings but did show a slight increase of 115 listings.  Its important to note that new listings are up, but they are being absorbed so the inventory is not increasing rapidly. Typically, in September we would see inventory rising but that is just not happening.

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in September were down by 288 or 10.55% from August.  The sectors that saw the largest decreases were Apartment Condos at -170 and Attached Row houses at -60.  As I have said many times what is keeping our sales down is our Inventory if there were more listings we would certainly sell more.

 

 

 

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for September were up by 28.9% from last year.  I attribute this to an increase in listings.  The demand is certainly still large so the more we can list the more we sell.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2837
2023 1199 1740 2432 2690 3120 3146
Change -805 -1565 -1659 -711 +57 +309
% Change -40.1% -47.4% -40.55% -20.9% +1.9% +10.9%

 

  July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2022 2249 2133 1893      
2023 2647 2729 2441      
Change +398 +596 +548      
% Change +17.7% 27.9% +28.9%      

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

Surprise, the overall benchmark price remained almost flat this month showing a decrease of $400.  In my opinion we should have seen a rise since we are still in a seller’s market position.  I Believe this may have been just a little bounce back from last month.

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary we have so far seen an increase in all sectors of 9.93% or $51,500.

The lowest dollar increases so far has been apartment condos at $38,000 and the highest is Detached homes at $76,500.  It is important to note that this is a Calgary number and each community within Calgary will be different – some higher and some lower.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Months of Inventory increased a little in all sectors.  The largest increase is in apartment condos (.35) and Semi-Detached (.29) while detached homes and Row Homes stayed flat.

My Prediction for what is ahead:  Based on what is driving demand (immigration) and I do not see that changing any time soon, I predict sales are going to remain strong and prices are going to continue to trend upwards although based on trends I see us slowly climbing out of the seller’s market, but it will likely take months.

 

**Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

*All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

Months of Inventory

 

Tags:, , , , , ,
Posted in Blog, Market Snapshot | Comments Closed

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot – Sept 1, 2022

Thursday, September 1st, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Months of Inventory Trendline

Months of Inventory Trendline

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Gord’s commentary for the month (my opinion).

August 2022 Highlights

  • Inventory continues to decline
  • Sales below last month but almost equal to August 2021
  • Prices in all sectors dropped
  • Prices year over year are still way up

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing Inventory in all sectors declined this month by 8% to 16%

It is typical to see our inventory decline and it will continue to decline until the new year.

 

Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease in sales in August compared to July except apartment Condos and they increased by eleven sales. The decline overall was exceedingly small with total sales in August being only 118 sales less than July.  This works out to only a 5.24% decrease compared to the 8% to 16% decline in our Inventory. Another trend I am seeing in the sales category is there is slightly less activity in the detached sector and more activity in other sectors and it is because of the Mortgage rates and higher prices some people can no longer afford detached homes, so they are looking at other options.

  

Sales Compared to 2021: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. August sales were only ten sales less than August 2021. This confirms for me that the decline in sales we are seeing is seasonal.

The Calgary Real Estate Board is also indicating that our August Sales were well above the long-term average.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

  

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2021 2146        
2022 2136        
Change -10        
% Change -.5%        

  

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all sectors combined decreased by $8,200 for the month.

I attribute this to when we go back a few months, and everything was selling in competing offers some consumers bid extremely high to make sure they got the home.  With competing offers happening less frequently buyers are becoming more cautious in what they are paying. In summary we were artificially high, and the market is just settling out to where it should be.

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date all sectors have seen substantial increases with the highest increases being in the detached sector. See chart below for details. Even though prices dropped a little last month the overall Benchmark price for all sectors is still 10.52% higher than in January of this year.

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory declined in all sectors during August. Simply put our Inventory decreased by 10.5% and our sales only decreased by 5.24%. What I find interesting is if you look at my graph above months of inventory increased for about three months and now it declined again.  This is just the market trying to figure out where it should be in our new normal.

 

What might the last half of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Although we had one month of our Months of inventory decreasing, we are on our way towards a more balanced market. As noted above apartment condos have already entered balanced territory. This depends on if the Bank of Canada does another interest rate hike which I believe is likely.

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Calgary Real Estate

Key Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats Package.

Tags:, , , , , ,
Posted in Blog, Market Snapshot, Real Estate Board's Statistics | Comments Closed

Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot, Aug 1, 2022

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

PS: The sky is not falling!

 

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory Trendline

Months of Inventory Trendline

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

July 2022 Highlights

  • The sky is not falling
  • We are seeing a decrease in Inventory and a slight decrease in sales.
  • Overall market is still in a Sellers Market position
  • Overall, we saw a marginal decrease in prices.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing inventory increased in all Semi-detached and Apartment sectors while Detached homes and Row homes saw a decrease in inventory.  Overall inventory is 67 listings less than last month. Typically in July we see inventories start to rise.

 

Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease in Sales in July.  Overall sales in July were 2254 down from 2842 in June.  Seeing sales decrease in July is what we would typically expect for July.  People are focused on summer and vacations.  We will likely see this trend until the end of the year.

  

Sales Compared to 2021: 

Calgary home sales for July were just slightly lower than July of 2021. July sales this year were down by 60 over 2021 or 2.7%.  This is telling me that our reduced sales are more seasonal and less to do with higher interest rates.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

 

 

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2020 1574 1702 1763 1438 1199
2021 2151 2162 2186 2110 1737
Change +577 +456 + 423 +672 +538
% Change 136.6% 126.7% 123.9% 146.7% 144.9%

 

 Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all sectors combined decreased by $3900 for the month.

It is interesting that even though we are technically in a seller’s market we are seeing price decreases.  In my opinion this is being driven by the national media stating housing is falling and therefore buyers are acting cautiously and acting like it is a buyer’s market.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date all sectors have seen substantial increases with the highest increases being in the detached sector. See chart below for details.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory continues to increase at a slow rate. Over all sectors, the months of Inventory increased by .47 so twice as fast as in June. We are still in a sellers market position in the Detached, Semi-detached and the Attached Row sectors while the Apartment Condo sector has now moved into balanced market territory.

 

What might the last half of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Based on what I am seeing we are on our way towards a more balanced market. As noted above apartment condos have already entered balanced territory. If we keep up at the same pace, we will move into an overall balanced market by mid September.  What is interesting is this is after mortgage rates went up which seems to be having little affect on the market so far.  Time will tell, but Alberta’s economy seems to be doing much better and lots of people are moving to Calgary which may keep our market relatively strong compared to other parts of Canada.

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Calgary Real Estate

Key Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats Package.

If you would like to find out how the Market is fairing in your community please contact us.

Tags:, , , , ,
Posted in Blog, Market Snapshot | Comments Closed