Posts Tagged ‘Calgary Real Estate Market’

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October 1, 2023: Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Thursday, October 5th, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

September 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market is maintaining its strength, with no substantial change.

  • September sales recorded another high at 2441 Sales.
  • New listings increased over August preventing our inventory from declining more.
  • Inventory is 24% lower than last year.
  • Seller’s market continues….

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our listing inventory remains very low with a total of 3369 listings but did show a slight increase of 115 listings.  Its important to note that new listings are up, but they are being absorbed so the inventory is not increasing rapidly. Typically, in September we would see inventory rising but that is just not happening.

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in September were down by 288 or 10.55% from August.  The sectors that saw the largest decreases were Apartment Condos at -170 and Attached Row houses at -60.  As I have said many times what is keeping our sales down is our Inventory if there were more listings we would certainly sell more.

 

 

 

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for September were up by 28.9% from last year.  I attribute this to an increase in listings.  The demand is certainly still large so the more we can list the more we sell.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2837
2023 1199 1740 2432 2690 3120 3146
Change -805 -1565 -1659 -711 +57 +309
% Change -40.1% -47.4% -40.55% -20.9% +1.9% +10.9%

 

  July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2022 2249 2133 1893      
2023 2647 2729 2441      
Change +398 +596 +548      
% Change +17.7% 27.9% +28.9%      

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

Surprise, the overall benchmark price remained almost flat this month showing a decrease of $400.  In my opinion we should have seen a rise since we are still in a seller’s market position.  I Believe this may have been just a little bounce back from last month.

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary we have so far seen an increase in all sectors of 9.93% or $51,500.

The lowest dollar increases so far has been apartment condos at $38,000 and the highest is Detached homes at $76,500.  It is important to note that this is a Calgary number and each community within Calgary will be different – some higher and some lower.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Months of Inventory increased a little in all sectors.  The largest increase is in apartment condos (.35) and Semi-Detached (.29) while detached homes and Row Homes stayed flat.

My Prediction for what is ahead:  Based on what is driving demand (immigration) and I do not see that changing any time soon, I predict sales are going to remain strong and prices are going to continue to trend upwards although based on trends I see us slowly climbing out of the seller’s market, but it will likely take months.

 

**Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

*All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

Months of Inventory

 

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Sept 1, 2023 Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot

Saturday, September 2nd, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 

Months of Inventory

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

August 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market is maintaining its strength, with no substantial change.

  • August sales reached a record high with 2729 sales.
  • August inventory dropped to a record low of 3254 units, well below the 6000 units typically available.
  • Prices continue to increase.
  • Seller’s market continues.

Calgary Listing Inventory

Our listing inventory remains very low with a total of 3254 listings on the market, a decrease of 234 units since August 1st.   Its important to note that new listings are up, but they are being absorbed so the inventory is not increasing. Typically, in August we would see inventory rising but that is just not happening.

Calgary Sales:

Sales in August were up by 82 or 3.1% over July.  The largest sales increase was in the Apartment condo sector at 13.47%.

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for August were up by 27.9% from last year.  I attribute this to an increase in listings.  The demand is certainly still large so the more we can list the more we sell.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2837
2023 1199 1740 2432 2690 3120 3146
Change -805 -1565 -1659 -711 +57 +309
% Change -40.1% -47.4% -40.55% -20.9% +1.9% +10.9%

 

  July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2022 2249 2133        
2023 2647 2729        
Change +398 +596        
% Change +17.7% 27.9%        

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The overall benchmark price continues to increase. The overall benchmark price increased by$3000 or .53%.   The increase in Benchmark was consistent across all Sectors.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary we have so far seen an increase in all sectors of 10% or $51,900.

The lowest dollar increases so far has been apartment condos at $34,300 and the highest is Detached homes at $77,100.  It is important to note that this is a Calgary number and each community within Calgary will be different – some higher and some lower.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Months of Inventory has decreased in all but the Semi-Detached sector which saw a very small increase. This decrease is a change from last month when months of inventory rose.

My Prediction for what is ahead:  Based on what is driving demand (immigration) and I do not see that changing any time soon, I predict sales are going to remain strong and prices are going to continue to trend upwards although based on trends I see us slowly climbing out of the seller’s market, but it will likely take months.

**Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

 

*All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot – June 1, 2023

Thursday, June 1st, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory

Months of Inventory

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

May 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market is continuing at a blistering pace!

  • Months of Inventory declines again
  • Prices continue the upward trend.
  • New listings increased resulting in a sale increase.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

There were only small changes in the listing inventory for the month resulting in 31 less listings as of today compared to May 1, 2023

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales increased in all sectors this month.  The overall increase was 15.99% The different sectors ranged from 13.78% for detached homes to 19.47% for Attached-Row.  In my opinion the cause of the increase in sales is because we had substantially more new listings hit the market this month. New listings went from 3132 in April to 3652 in May.  Sales should continue to be strong as the demand seems to be much higher than the supply.

 

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for April were 711 less than last year. Again, in my opinion this is simply due to not having enough Inventory on the market.

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2842 2254
2023 1199 1740 2432 2690 3120
Change -805 -1565 -1659 -711 +57
% Change -40.1% -47.4% -40.55% -20.9% +1.9%

 

 Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The overall benchmark price increased by $6,200 in May.  The largest increase was in the detached sector at $12,100 and the smallest increase was in the Apartment Condo sector at $4,500.  My predictions are that this trend will continue as the months of inventory is still very low putting us in deep seller’s market territory.

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary we have so far seen an overall increase of 7.36% or $38,200. The lowest dollar increases so far has been apartment condos at $23,800 and the highest is Detached homes at $54,400.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Months of Inventory decreased again in all sectors making things even tighter.

My Prediction for what is ahead:  Being that we are in a deep Sellers Market, we will continue to see prices increasing. As we have seen all new inventory get sold right away and no net gain, I still have to say this trend is going to continue for the next several months.

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

 

All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

 

 

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot – April 1, 2023

Monday, April 3rd, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

April 2023 Highlights

The Calgary Market is continuing at a blistering pace!

  • We have a supply problem. Our inventory increased by only 483 listings in March however the total number of listings is only 73.6% of last year so we are very low on listings.
  • Multiple offers are being seen in all sectors with huge numbers of offers for Detached, Attached and Townhomes. Of course, they are selling well above list price.
  • Sales increased over February however if we had inventory sales would be much higher.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing inventory increased an overall of 17.56% in March with the highest increase in the Attached – Row sector (23.24%).  The lowest increase is in the Semi – Detached sector at 11.76.

 

Calgary Sales:

Total Sale in March increased by 692 or 39.77% over February, far outpacing the increase in inventory.  All sectors were above 23% with the highest increase in the Semi – Detached Sector at 55. %

  

Sales Compared to 2022: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for March were down 40.55% when compared to last March of 2022. Although this looks like a substantial number, if we had more inventory sales would have been higher – it is a supply problem not low demand causing lower sales.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2022 2004 3305 4091 3401 3071 2842 2254
2023 1199 1740 2432        
Change -805 -1565 -1659        
% Change -40.1% -47.4% 40.55%        

 

  

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The overall benchmark price increased by $10,900 or 2.05% in March. The highest increase was in detached homes at $13,900 up and the lowest increase is in the Apartment Condo Sector which was $7500.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

For all of Calgary we have so far seen an increase of 4.43% or a $23,000 Increase

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

Once again our months of Inventory decreased by .25  This number is not going to change until we start seeing more listings hit the market.

 

My Prediction for what’s ahead:  Being that we are in a deep Sellers Market we will continue to see prices increasing.  My gut feeling is we will start to see an increase in inventory in April and will work towards a more balanced market over the next 6 months.  

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stats specifically for your neighbourhood, please contact us.

CREB Stats

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot for Jan 1, 2023

Tuesday, January 3rd, 2023

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Calgary Real Estate Market Trend

Graph shows the months of inventory for all sectors in the Calgary Real Estate Market. Also show for each sector it that sector is in a Buyers, Sellers or Balanced Market position.

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

December 2022 Highlights

The Calgary Market continues to stay strong!

  • Our Inventory continues to decline, and we are well below normal levels of listings
  • Sales declined but not as much as Inventory
  • Months of Inventory declined again

 

2022 Summary at a Glance

The first half of the year sales were sky high and tapered off in the last half of the year.

  • Sales reached a record high in 2022 with 29,672 sales
  • As of January 1, there were 2214 listings on the market – the lowest level of Inventory for December in over a decade.
  • Calgary continues to report activity that is better than levels seen before the pandemic and higher than long term trends.
  • Benchmark Prices eased to $518,000 in December down 5% from the peak in May but are still almost 8% higher than December last year.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing Inventory declined again this month. In all sectors combined we are down 28.79% in listings from December 1st. While declining numbers of listings are normal for this time of year this is a steeper decline than what I would like to see. Although this is good for sellers, I think this could be another tough year for buyers.

 

Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease of sales in December, overall sectors the decline was 26.94% putting the decline of sales less than the decline of inventory (listings).

 

Sales Compared to 2021: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for December were down 30.61% when compared to last December of 2021. Although this looks like a substantial number, we also need to consider that last December is when things in the Calgary Real Estate Market started getting heated so not meeting last years sales does not concern me at all. Overall sales in December were still above the long-term average.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

 

 

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2021 2146 2157 2184 2108 1735
2022 2136 1901 1857 1648 1204
Change -10 -256 -327 -460 -531
% Change -.5% -11.9% -17.6% -21.8% 30.61%

  

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all sectors combined declined by $1,400 in December. All sectors saw a decline except the Semi-Detached Sector that increased by $200.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date the Calgary Benchmark Price increased by 7.81% in 2022. All the increases were between 7.8% to 9.8% except the Attached Row Sector which increased by 14.36%. See stats below for sector breakdowns.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The Detached and Attached Row houses both saw a small decline in the months of inventory.

The apartment condo market saw a slight increase of .11 while the Semi-Detached market saw a significant increase of .58 months of Inventory.

 

What might the first quarter of 2023 bring: (again just my opinion)

Based on what I am seeing, I believe that for the first half of the year we will continue to see a low inventory of listings. This is going to push sales numbers down as buyers are just not finding what they are looking for so are waiting. Depending what the Federal bank does with interest rates, but I speculate that we will see another 1 or 2 increases in the interest rate which will put more downward pressure on demand.

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

All numbers vary by community and price ranges, if you would like stat specifically for your neighborhood, please contact us.

Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Board

Shows the number of listings, sales, Benchmark Price and Months of Inventory for all sectors of the Calgary Real Estate Market for the last 2 months along with the change. Numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Board Realtors Stats package.

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot, December 1, 2022

Thursday, December 1st, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory

Chart shows the months of Inventory for all sectors of the Calgary Real Estate Market for the last year. 

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

November 2022 Highlights

The Calgary Market continues to stay strong!

  • Inventory continues to decline
  • Sales declined but not as much as Inventory
  • Months of Inventory declined again

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing Inventory in all sectors declined this month by 20.02% overall. The largest % decline was in the Apartment condo sector followed by the detached home sector. It is very normal to see our Inventory decline at this time of year as many people do not want to sell their homes over the holiday season.

 

 Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease of sales in November except the Apartment Condo sector which saw a slight increase of 2.52% over October. Again, a decline in sales is normal at this time of year with Christmas coming (yes, already).

 

 Sales Compared to 2021: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for November were down 21.8% when compared to last November. Although this looks like an exceptionally substantial number, we also need to consider that Last November is when things in the Calgary Real Estate Market started getting heated so not meeting last years sales does not concern me at all. Sales in November were still 12% above the long-term average.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

 

 

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2021 2146 2157 2184 2108  
2022 2136 1901 1857 1648  
Change -10 -256 -327 -460  
% Change -.5% -11.9% -17.6% -21.8%  

 

 Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all Detached homes, Attached Row homes and Apartment Condos declined by $4,200, $2,300, and $800, respectively. The benchmark price for Semi-Detached homes increased by $5,100 I believe the reason for this is some buyers are no longer able to buy detached homes with the price and interest rate increases pushing them towards the Semi-Detached sector.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date the Calgary market has increased by 8.1%. See stats below for sector breakdowns.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory for all sectors decreased again this month in all sectors except Attached Row Homes which increased by .63 The total month of inventory is at 1.89 putting us clearly in a seller’s market position again. If the month of Inventory continues to decrease, then we could end up with another wild and crazy Jan – Feb – March.

 

What might the last quarter of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Based on what I am seeing with the Inventory, my prediction is that we are going to be in a tight market for the next few months. I personally have several buyers who are just waiting for something to come on the market that fits their criteria. I see this trend continuing and therefore prices are likely to increase again in the first quarter of next year.

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Key Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats Package.

All numbers vary by community and price ranges,  If you would like stat specifically for your neighborhood please contact us.

 

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot Nov 1, 2022

Wednesday, November 2nd, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

 

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory

Chart shows the months of Inventory for all sectors of the Calgary Real Estate Market for the last year.

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

October 2022 Highlights

The Calgary Market continues to stay strong!

  • Inventory Declined substantially
  • Sales declined
  • Benchmark price declined slightly
  • Months of Inventory decreased a little.
  • Overall, still a great market, especially for sellers.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing Inventory in all sectors declined this month by 12.7% overall. The largest decline was in the detached sector (-272) followed by the Apartment Condo Sector (-133) and Attached- Row-Homes  (-117). It is very normal for sales to decline in Oct and will likely continue to do so until the new year.

 

Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease of sales in September. The total decrease in sales was only 2.31% and was spread equally between sectors. My sense is most of the decrease is due to seasonal trends and a shortage of inventory on the market.

  

Sales Compared to 2021: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. Sales for October were down 17.6% when compared to last October. Sales compared to long term trends are still on the high side.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

 

 

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2021 2146 2157 2184    
2022 2136 1901 1857    
Change -10 -256 -327    
% Change -.5% -11.9% -17.6%    

  

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all sectors combined decreased by $3,500 for the month. Detached and Semi-Detached homes lost $4,100 and $3,700, respectively. Attached Row Homes decreased by $1,100, and Apartment condos decreased by $100

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date the Calgary market has increased by 8.87%. See stats below for sector breakdowns.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory took a turn this month and, in all Sectors, decreased marginally. When a market goes up like it has in Calgary it then typically goes down and then will go up and down until it settles, I believe we have now had the down cycle and we are going up to find the new normal.

 

What might the last quarter of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Based on what I am seeing with the Inventory, my prediction is that we are going to be in a tight market for the next few months. I personally have several buyers who are just waiting for something to come on the market that fits their criteria. I see this trend continuing and therefore prices are likely to increase again.

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Calgary Real Estate Board Stats

Key Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats Package.

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot – Sept 1, 2022

Thursday, September 1st, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Months of Inventory Trendline

Months of Inventory Trendline

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Gord’s commentary for the month (my opinion).

August 2022 Highlights

  • Inventory continues to decline
  • Sales below last month but almost equal to August 2021
  • Prices in all sectors dropped
  • Prices year over year are still way up

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing Inventory in all sectors declined this month by 8% to 16%

It is typical to see our inventory decline and it will continue to decline until the new year.

 

Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease in sales in August compared to July except apartment Condos and they increased by eleven sales. The decline overall was exceedingly small with total sales in August being only 118 sales less than July.  This works out to only a 5.24% decrease compared to the 8% to 16% decline in our Inventory. Another trend I am seeing in the sales category is there is slightly less activity in the detached sector and more activity in other sectors and it is because of the Mortgage rates and higher prices some people can no longer afford detached homes, so they are looking at other options.

  

Sales Compared to 2021: 

It is also important to look at sales compared to the Previous year. August sales were only ten sales less than August 2021. This confirms for me that the decline in sales we are seeing is seasonal.

The Calgary Real Estate Board is also indicating that our August Sales were well above the long-term average.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

  

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2021 2146        
2022 2136        
Change -10        
% Change -.5%        

  

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all sectors combined decreased by $8,200 for the month.

I attribute this to when we go back a few months, and everything was selling in competing offers some consumers bid extremely high to make sure they got the home.  With competing offers happening less frequently buyers are becoming more cautious in what they are paying. In summary we were artificially high, and the market is just settling out to where it should be.

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date all sectors have seen substantial increases with the highest increases being in the detached sector. See chart below for details. Even though prices dropped a little last month the overall Benchmark price for all sectors is still 10.52% higher than in January of this year.

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory declined in all sectors during August. Simply put our Inventory decreased by 10.5% and our sales only decreased by 5.24%. What I find interesting is if you look at my graph above months of inventory increased for about three months and now it declined again.  This is just the market trying to figure out where it should be in our new normal.

 

What might the last half of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Although we had one month of our Months of inventory decreasing, we are on our way towards a more balanced market. As noted above apartment condos have already entered balanced territory. This depends on if the Bank of Canada does another interest rate hike which I believe is likely.

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Calgary Real Estate

Key Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats Package.

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot, Aug 1, 2022

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

PS: The sky is not falling!

 

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory Trendline

Months of Inventory Trendline

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

July 2022 Highlights

  • The sky is not falling
  • We are seeing a decrease in Inventory and a slight decrease in sales.
  • Overall market is still in a Sellers Market position
  • Overall, we saw a marginal decrease in prices.

 

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing inventory increased in all Semi-detached and Apartment sectors while Detached homes and Row homes saw a decrease in inventory.  Overall inventory is 67 listings less than last month. Typically in July we see inventories start to rise.

 

Calgary Sales:

All sectors saw a decrease in Sales in July.  Overall sales in July were 2254 down from 2842 in June.  Seeing sales decrease in July is what we would typically expect for July.  People are focused on summer and vacations.  We will likely see this trend until the end of the year.

  

Sales Compared to 2021: 

Calgary home sales for July were just slightly lower than July of 2021. July sales this year were down by 60 over 2021 or 2.7%.  This is telling me that our reduced sales are more seasonal and less to do with higher interest rates.

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981 2914 2314
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071 2842 2254
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90 -72 -60
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03% 2.5% 2.7%

 

 

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2020 1574 1702 1763 1438 1199
2021 2151 2162 2186 2110 1737
Change +577 +456 + 423 +672 +538
% Change 136.6% 126.7% 123.9% 146.7% 144.9%

 

 Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

The benchmark price for all sectors combined decreased by $3900 for the month.

It is interesting that even though we are technically in a seller’s market we are seeing price decreases.  In my opinion this is being driven by the national media stating housing is falling and therefore buyers are acting cautiously and acting like it is a buyer’s market.

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date all sectors have seen substantial increases with the highest increases being in the detached sector. See chart below for details.

 

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory continues to increase at a slow rate. Over all sectors, the months of Inventory increased by .47 so twice as fast as in June. We are still in a sellers market position in the Detached, Semi-detached and the Attached Row sectors while the Apartment Condo sector has now moved into balanced market territory.

 

What might the last half of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Based on what I am seeing we are on our way towards a more balanced market. As noted above apartment condos have already entered balanced territory. If we keep up at the same pace, we will move into an overall balanced market by mid September.  What is interesting is this is after mortgage rates went up which seems to be having little affect on the market so far.  Time will tell, but Alberta’s economy seems to be doing much better and lots of people are moving to Calgary which may keep our market relatively strong compared to other parts of Canada.

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Calgary Real Estate

Key Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Boards Stats Package.

If you would like to find out how the Market is fairing in your community please contact us.

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Calgary Real Estate Market Snapshot for June 1, 2022

Wednesday, June 1st, 2022

What is really happening in the Calgary Real Estate Market?

Change is  happening

 

Following is a graph that shows the months of inventory for each housing sector. Looking at a one-year trendline gives you an indication of where things are really heading.

Months of Inventory

Months of Inventory

 

 

Gord’s commentary for the month (just my opinion).

May 2022 Highlights

  • All sectors increased the months of Inventory this month.
  • All sectors however are still in a seller’s market position
  • All Sectors showed marginal increases in price

Calgary Listing Inventory

Listing inventory increased in all sectors combined by a total of 350 listings. Detached and Semi-Detached increased the least both under 6% while Apartment Condos and Row Houses increased by 11.2% and 12.75%. See chart below for details

 

Calgary Sales:

Sales in all categories decreased from April. The decrease for all sectors was less than 50 except detached homes where the decrease was 231 sales less. See chart below for details

  

Sales Compared to 2021: 

Calgary home sales for May were just slightly higher than in May 2021 – by 90 Sales or 1.03%

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July
2021 1207 1831 2903 3204 2981    
2022 2009 3305 4107 3401 3071    
Change + 802 1474 +1204 +197 90    
% Change + 66.4% +180.5% +141.5% +1.06 +1.03%    

  

  Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2020 1574 1702 1763 1438 1199
2021 2151 2162 2186 2110 1737
Change +577 +456 + 423 +672 +538
% Change 136.6% 126.7% 123.9% 146.7% 144.9%

 

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Sales Prices:

*Note: If you have been following my reports you may have noticed some changes in the Benchmark Prices compared to my last report. The Calgary Real Estate Board has changed how they calculate the Benchmark Price. It is my understanding that previously they used numbers all the way back to 2005 when the Home Price Index was introduced. The new method is to only use the last 5 years so as communities change the benchmark price will more quickly reflect the change.

 

The benchmark price for all sectors increased combined increased marginally (between $2,100 to $4,700. See chart below for details

 

Calgary Real Estate Benchmark Year to Date Sales Price:  See chart below.

Year to date all sectors have seen substantial increases with the highest increases being in the detached sector. See chart below for details.

Current Months of Inventory (Absorption Rate): 

The months of inventory increased in all sectors in May by between .25 and .28. We are seeing all sectors creep up weekly.  All sectors currently remain in a seller’s market position however Apartment condos are just about into a balanced market again.

 

What might the rest of 2022 bring: (again just my opinion)

Based on what I am seeing we are on our way towards a more balanced market. At this stage it has been a gradual increase however we will see what impact today’s interest rate increase has – I think it will slow things down even more.

 

Below is a summary of numbers in chart form. All numbers are taken from the Calgary Real Estate Boards monthly Stats package.

Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Board

Select Stats from the Calgary Real Estate Board

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